Playoff Outlook going into Week 10

[silverpie]

CLASS 1A

 

Confirmed (21): Clarksville Academy, Cloudland, Coalfield, Columbia Academy, Copper Basin, Dresden, Gordonsville, Greenback, Harriman, Hollow Rock-Bruceton, Humboldt, Huntland, Lake County, Monterey, Nashville Christian, Oakdale, Red Boiling Springs, South Pittsburg, Sunbright, Union City, Wayne County

 

In contention for the final three places (7):

Win and they're in: Clay County, Midway, South Fulton

Lose and they're out: Greenfield, Jo Byrns, South Fulton, West Carroll

(Yes, South Fulton is correctly on both lists.)

Other: Moore County (open date week 10)

 

Eliminated (15): Collinwood, Cornersville, Fayetteville, Gleason, Grace Baptist, Hancock County, Lookout Valley, McEwen, Memphis North Side, Middleton, Perry County, Pickett County, Richland, Sale Creek, Unaka

 

 

 

Class 2A:

Confirmed (17): Adamsville, Forrest, Grace Christian, Hampton, Hillcrest, Jackson County, Loretto, Marion County, McKenzie, Middle Tennessee Christian, Mitchell, Mount Pleasant, Oneida, Peabody, Rockwood, Trinity Christian, Trousdale County

 

In contention for the last seven places (11):

Win and they're in: Boyd-Buchanan, Huntingdon, Meigs County, Riverside, Silverdale Baptist

Lose and they're out: KIPP/Memphis

Reply hazy, try again: Eagleville, North Greene, Scotts Hill, Whitwell, Watertown

 

Out (17): Booker T. Washington, Community, Cosby, East Robertson, George Washington Carver, Gibson County, Goodpasture, Halls, Houston County, Jackson Christian, Jellico, Memphis Academy of Health Sciences, Oakhaven, South Greene, Tellico Plains, Wartburg Central

[BigDave1967]

I'd like Copper Basin to open the Playoffs at home against either Red Boiling Springs or Clay County. Win that and the Cougars will probably play South Pittsburg at home.

[Intense]

 

CLASS 1A

 

Confirmed (21): Clarksville Academy, Cloudland, Coalfield, Columbia Academy, Copper Basin, Dresden, Gordonsville, Greenback, Harriman, Hollow Rock-Bruceton, Humboldt, Huntland, Lake County, Monterey, Nashville Christian, Oakdale, Red Boiling Springs, South Pittsburg, Sunbright, Union City, Wayne County

 

In contention for the final three places (7):

Win and they're in: Clay County, Midway, South Fulton

Lose and they're out: Greenfield, Jo Byrns, South Fulton, West Carroll

(Yes, South Fulton is correctly on both lists.)

Other: Moore County (open date week 10)

 

Eliminated (15): Collinwood, Cornersville, Fayetteville, Gleason, Grace Baptist, Hancock County, Lookout Valley, McEwen, Memphis North Side, Middleton, Perry County, Pickett County, Richland, Sale Creek, Unaka

 

 

 

Class 2A:

Confirmed (17): Adamsville, Forrest, Grace Christian, Hampton, Hillcrest, Jackson County, Loretto, Marion County, McKenzie, Middle Tennessee Christian, Mitchell, Mount Pleasant, Oneida, Peabody, Rockwood, Trinity Christian, Trousdale County

 

In contention for the last seven places (11):

Win and they're in: Boyd-Buchanan, Huntingdon, Meigs County, Riverside, Silverdale Baptist

Lose and they're out: KIPP/Memphis

Reply hazy, try again: Eagleville, North Greene, Scotts Hill, Whitwell, Watertown

 

Out (17): Booker T. Washington, Community, Cosby, East Robertson, George Washington Carver, Gibson County, Goodpasture, Halls, Houston County, Jackson Christian, Jellico, Memphis Academy of Health Sciences, Oakhaven, South Greene, Tellico Plains, Wartburg Central

Silverpie, you are a little late. Scratch Hillcrest and Mitchell. They have been suspended from playoffs for 3 years.

[ReitzFan]

In 2A, the Memphis region will be represented by two of the three following teams:  Memphis Kipp, BTW, GW Carver.

[silverpie]

Whoa! No idea that was going to happen! Obviously will not affect 1A, will need to re-run the 2A numbers.

 

Edit to add: In my defense, I think the news broke on the forum after I posted and still isn't on tssaa.org or the front page here.

 

Anywhatever, this can get into some horrifically ugly tiebreaks.

 

First place is straightforward. Booker T needs a win and a Hillcrest win. Carver needs a win and a Health Sciences (MAHS) win. Anything else and KIPP wins the district.

 

As for top two, there is one particularly bizarre case in play: if Health Sciences and Oakhaven win, it's a five-way tie for first at 3-4, or if KIPP wins, a four-way tie for second. Even with a loss, KIPP would take first anyway because they have the only outside win; the other four remain tied for second.

 

Assuming that does not happen, Booker T simply needs a win to qualify. Carver needs a win plus wins by Hillcrest and Health Sciences. KIPP needs either a win or a Health Sciences win. Health Sciences has to take it to the deep tiebreaks (they may actually be eliminated, the combinations literally blow my computer's mind). Oakhaven needs a win plus either a Health Sciences win and favorable deep tiebreaks, or Booker T and Hillcrest wins.

Edited October 31, 2014 by silverpie