So it seems the first part of your discussion pivots on districts 9-12. Here are my thoughts on those for post-season predictions:
District 9: White House, WH-Heritage, and Beech are the frontrunners. Macon Co. has a puncher's chance as well. They have enough attack to be dangerous. Two quality teams will get out of this district. There seems to be a vital importance to win this district to avoid Hume-Fogg in the region semi-finals.
District 10: Hume-Fogg is the clear and convincing frontrunner. MLK looks to be a clear leader for 2nd place.
District 11: Wow!!! Possibly the deepest district in AA history. So tough! Page is so solid all over the field, Giles Co plays extremely hard and has enough talent to be dangerous, Nolensville has a talented Freshman class mixed with some girls who have a lot of high school playing experience, and Central has an outside chance, too (very well-coached team and sound defensively). My prediction is Nolensville and Page (either of which would be a frontrunner to win the state tournament). Whoever wins this district deserves the highest of kudos.
District 12: Sycamore and Fairview will come out of this district. Sycamore has a solid attack that can be dangerous. Unfortunately, Sycamore will be playing in an extremely tough region semi-finals game, even if they win their district. The nature of the beast.
With all this mid-state commentary aside, Knox Catholic is loaded. At this point in the year, they would have to be the favorites to win the whole thing.
*Reiterating Playerscoach: a few injuries can turn all this stuff on its head. Good luck to all!