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2A Region 3 vs Region 4


Cam615
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On 11/3/2019 at 3:06 PM, Dadof2 said:

I think the only game that will be close is Bledsoe and ER, sounds like ER has a big time player and I know Bledsoe does to, in the Rogers kid. The other three games will be blowouts.

Sonny Moore has an interesting take on this game. Bledsoe is favored by 18.75 points(97.67-78.92). However ER is favored with SOS(87.38 to 81.21).

This one should be the best Region 3/4

game on Friday.

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On 11/1/2019 at 11:23 PM, TCRadio said:

So looks like we have:

Westmoreland @ Tyner 

Marion County @ Trousdale 

East Rob @ Bledsoe 

Tellico @ Watertown 

 

Thought I would list the 10 game regular season Sonny Moore rating for Region 3/4 .IMO it's like the AP rating which stops after the regular season.

Trousdale 88.12 114.04

Tyner        89.88 113.16

Watertown 92.86 110.01

Bledsoe       81.21   95.67

E. Rob.         87.38.   78.92

Westm'lnd   87.35   90.48

Marion Co.   92.75  70.04

Tellico.           81.18  69.52

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9 hours ago, TynerRamFan said:

Thought I would list the 10 game regular season Sonny Moore rating for Region 3/4 .IMO it's like the AP rating which stops after the regular season.

Trousdale 88.12 114.04

Tyner        89.88 113.16

Watertown 92.86 110.01

Bledsoe       81.21   95.67

E. Rob.         87.38.   78.92

Westm'lnd   87.35   90.48

Marion Co.   92.75  70.04

Tellico.           81.18  69.52

Explain the first column and then second column please. 

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10 hours ago, TynerRamFan said:

First column: Strength of Schedule

2nd column: Power Rating

If two teams are playing each other, add 2 points to the home team to get the home field advantage (per Sonny Moore)

Why is Watertown SOS higher than Tyner with Tyner IMO playing the tougher schedule by playing Alcoa and Baylor two of the top teams in their class? I don't know how accurate the ratings are this year.

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53 minutes ago, kingofthenorth said:

Why is Watertown SOS higher than Tyner with Tyner IMO playing the tougher schedule by playing Alcoa and Baylor two of the top teams in their class? I don't know how accurate the ratings are this year.

 

26 minutes ago, Mr. Postman1 said:

I agree. Sonny dont know much

Very valid question. Lets take a deeper dive into both teams schedules and how those teams rank in Sonny's Computer. Note that Sonny has a math equation that is far more complicated than any of us can figure out but for years has been fairly accurate. It's not perfect and this year seems to be more off than normal but anywho....

Let's start with Watertown.

Team    Div      Record    Sonny's latest Ranking

Gordonsville   1A   3-7   256

Nolensville   4A   8-2   61

Trousdale Co.   2A   8-1   64

DeKalb Co.    4A   6-4   151

Cascade  2A   2-8   298

White House    4A  5-5   170

Westmoreland   2A  5-5   181

Jackson Co.    2A    3-7   251

Upperman   3A   9-1   55

East Robertson   2A   5-5   235

Tellico Plains   2A   3-7   280

Avg Rank of Teams is 182.0

 

Now for Tyner:

Team    Div      Record    Sonny's latest Ranking

Chattanooga Central  4A  2-7   248

Bledsoe Co.    2A   7-3   148

Howard   4A   7-3   102

Marion Co.   2A   2-8   278

Alcoa   3A   9-1    1

Tellico Plains   2A   3-7   280

Baylor   Div 2 3A   9-1   5

Webb School  Div 2 1A  1-7   332

Brainard   3A   1-9   259

Polk Co.   2A   0-10  307

Westmoreland  2A   5-5   181

Avg Rank of Teams is 194.6

Based on this info Watertown's opponents have been overall higher. No doubt i would agree that Tyner has played harder teams but you can also say that the weaker teams are far weaker than Watertowns. 

 

If your wondering, Trousdale Co. opponent avg is 208.6, Westmoreland is 174.9 and East Robertson is 180.1. Marion Co. takes the gold as their opponent avg is 154.3. 

Edited by BCB~MVP
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