While it is true that pitchers will be at a premium due to the new scholarship rules, i don't believe it will decrease in the number of high school position players that will be signed. Reason being is the 35 man roster limit. No longer will the big schools be able to come in and sign 25 guys a year and let the best players work their way into the lineup and the guys that don't win a job work their way out of the program.
I believe that schools will now be held much more accountable for their signees. They're going to really have to make sure that they're signing a player that will help them. The APR penalties of scholarship loss won't allow them to cut 10 or 15 kids a year now. Programs will now be based not only on recruiting, but their ability to develop players. College baseball had gotten to the point where it wasn't about making your players better, it was about finding a better player. And who was paying the price for this? The kid who was told he no longer had a scholarship or even a roster spot and had to pick up and trasnfer.
Ultimately what will happen i believe is that junior college teams will be much better now and their outgoing sophomores will have less opportunity. Or at least less opportunity at big name schools. Schools will concentrate on the development of their own players. Those first two years is really where the learning happens; or at least the teaching. Programs will want to develop their own players instead of relying on the development that occurs inside of a junior college. Don't get me wrong, juco kids will still sign with big schools, i just don't think it will happen nearly as much. The juco kid will start falling much more frequently into the mid major schools.
The mid major schools may really benefit from this in being able to go and grab quality juco players with experience that can step in right away and be productive whereas many of those players would have been signed to bigger schools had it not been for the APR penalties and the roste limits. I think this is going to be really interesting how this will all play out. I do believe in 2-4 years you're going to see amazing parity in college baseball. I think the regulars in Omaha may start having surprise replacements. Its a more even playing field for mid majors. The guys that would sign at big schools and sit the bench and never develop will now get pushed down into the mid majors..... the place that they should have signed all along. This will give those players a chance to develop and many of them will be outstanding for those mid majors. I'm excited about the changes and looking forward to the impact it will have on college baseball.