If you have no life or your priorities are out of order your like me and you’ve figured this †z†thing out. Im not 100% right, but I am 99.9% sure this is accurate barring that the powers that be at TSSAA don’t change some criteria on us like they OBVIOUSLY HAVE ON THEIR QUADRANT MAPPING SYSTEM!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The names in the top 28 are gonna be in the playoffs regardless of results this week. There are no teams below #28 that pose a real threat to become the #1 or #2 team in their district. The fun part in this thing is that 29-40 are fighting for 4 spots. Who knows what quad everyone will end up in.
#27 Lenoir City(4-5) is the underdog vs. Maryville(8-1) this week, but it doesn’t matter. They will stay ahead of any 4 win team from 29 and up based on columns 2 and 3 having no way of changing for them. With 7 opponents at .500+ and one defeated opponent, they will stay ahead of everyone with 4 wins unless Melrose passes them at 4-6.
#28 Melrose (4-5) is the underdog vs. Whitehaven (8-1), but will still get in above the other 4 win teams behind them based on the fact that their column 2 and 3 can only increase. If Central(4-5) or White Station (4-5) either one (or both) win- Melrose will even pass Lenoir City. The likely scenarios put them @ #29or 30.
#29 Clarksville (4-5) must defeat Kenwood(3-6) to get in. The only thing that helps them (if they lose) is if West Creek (4-5) upsets Springfield(7-2) because that would make West Creek 5-5 thus increasing Clarksville’s column 2 and 3. CHS should be favored but this game is a toss up. The likely scenarios put them at #27.
#30 David Crockett is the underdog vs. Daniel Boone . Losing should not necessarily disqualify them. Their column 2 and 3 will not change. If Clarksville defeats Kenwood it will tie up West Creek and Crockett in column 1, 2, 3 and West Creek at 4-6 will pass Crockett in column 4 with a Clarksville win. These likely scenarios will put Crockett behind West Creek but in front of Clinton because of column 2 & 3 (if 4-5 Clinton loses to 7-2 Anderson Co). These likely scenarios put Crockett at #32
#31 West Creek (4-5) is the underdog vs. Springfield. If they win they are in. If they lose they will need Clarksville (5-5 ) to win so that their column 2 will increase from 5 to 6. If Clarksville loses to Kenwood West Creek will need Memphis East(3-6) to lose to Central(4-5) or for White Station, Melrose, and Seymour to lose. The likely scenarios put them at #31.
#32 Clinton (4-5) is the underdog vs. Anderson County (7-2). A loss will disqualify them based on column 2 and 3. The only thing saving them would be if the NC team(4-5) that they played were to upset an undefeated team this week. The likely scenario is simple- win= in. Lose=out
#33 White County(4-5) will be the slight underdog vs.Cumberland County (4-5) If they lose they will need York Institute, Kenwood, Livingston Academy, and Springfield all to win. Springfield is the only one of the four who is favored this week. The likely scenario is Win=In and Lose=out.
#34 Cumberland County(4-5) should be the favorite over White County(4-5). If they lose they will need Livingston Academy(4-5, favored), Marion County(4-5, favored), and York Institute (4-5 big underdog) all to win. The likely scenario is a win =In, Lose=out
#35 Kenwood(3-6) will be the underdog vs. Clarksville(4-5). Obviously they are out if they lose. If they win they will need help to get in. They will need Seymour and Memphis East to lose and also West Creek to win (This would increase column 2 for them. Very tough for them to get in win or lose this week.
#36 Seymour (3-6) is the underdog vs. Morristown West (6-3). If they lose they are out, if they win would be in just below Melrose because a win over a .500+ team would increase column 1 up to a 4, column 2 up to a 6, column 3 up to a 1 and their opponent wins should keep them ahead of West Creek, Crockett, and Memphis East.
#37 Memphis East(3-6) is in a toss up with Memphis Central (4-5). They must win to be in and they need Kenwood(underdog) and Springfield(favorite) both to win OR they need Melrose(underdog) and/or White Station(Toss Up) to win this week. Likely Scenario- Lose=out, win +White Station(4-5) over Mitchell(6-3) =IN
#38 Cherokee can not get in regardless. They should win vs. Cocke County. This gives them 4 wins in column one, but their column 2 and 3 cannot change.
#39 Hillwood(3-6) is the underdog vs. Nashville Overton(7-2). They will need to pull off the upset, Kenwood must win, and Father Ryan must defeat Baylor. If these three things happen, they would be #31. It will be a stretch.
#40 Cane Ridge(3-6) cannot get in regardless. They should win this week, but column 2 and 3 cannot change for them.