AAA is certainly a headscratcher. Dickson, Siegel, Oakland, and Gibbs, among others, graduated their ace pitchers last year. I don't know if anybody really stands out at the moment. Stewarts Creek will likely make it back to State; Clarksville, too. But who else? Coffee? Wilson Central? Someone unexpected like Blackman? Might Soddy make it back? What about Ooltewah? Their ace pitcher is only a junior, but she didn't have any bats around her last year; that's why they fell one round short of the promised land.
I don't think the picture will be very clear until at least early April. Not to me, anyway.
(And yeah, I know you said Midstate, but I'm looking at the bigger picture.)