‘Tis true, out of region records can be somewhat indicative of the strength of a particular region…but it can also prove to indicate the weakness of a particular area (i.e. west, middle or east) and disparity in strength of competition, which I think is the case in the comparison between Region 7 and 2-3A. When comparing out of region games and records you may not be comparing “apples to apples.”
The stats may be valid, but are they reliable for our comparison. I say no.
First, let’s start with the obvious; “Strength of Schedule + Success rating”
Last year, Region 2 had six teams in the top 20 according to SS+S vs. three for Region 7.
Region 2 had a SS+S avg. of 1.17 vs. 1.13 for Region 7.
Next, let’s look at the not so obvious; you’re “Out of Region records”
Yes, Region 7 did appear to have great success versus non-regional opponents, but was this not a reflection of the inadequacies of the area.
If you evaluate the out of region games for Region 2 and 7 you will see a large disparity in two categories: combined overall record of non-region opponents and opponents over .500 (IMO this would indicate overall opponent strength)
- The combined record of non-region opponents for Region 2 was 174-139 or .556 vs. the 111-191 or .367 for Region 7…almost a 200 point disparity.
- Also, Region 2 played 14 non-region opponents with records over .500 vs. 5 for Region 7.
Furthermore, in the last 5 years, Region 2 has represented the east side of the bracket every single year…winning the title 4 times during that span.