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Computer Rankings Hypothetical - 4A


osunut2
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I started posting these rankings on the 5A/6A board last week, so I figured I would add the 4A rankings as well. I'll update these on Monday, and add 3A as well.

 

I'm using the Ohio high school computer ranking system (OHSAA), in order to compare the results to our current setup. The ranking system is composed of two primary scoring components - points are awarded for 1) head-to-head wins, based on an opponent's classification (level 1 points), and 2) your opponents' quality of wins, based on their opponents' classification (level 2 points). If you want to see how these numbers are calculated, the details are in the link above. Note that I haven't normalized the results for teams that have already played 10 games, so Carter, Anderson County, Kingsbury, Ridgeway, Memphis East, and Dyer County will have "slightly" inflated numbers. The top 16 teams from each group would advance to the playoffs.

 

Regions 1-4:

Rank/Team   Region Record Points

1 Greeneville    1 9-0 25.56111

2 Knox Catholic*** 2 8-1 23.55556

3 Marshall Co   4 8-1 21.32323

4 Sull East        1 8-1 20.11667

5 Stone Mem    3 9-0 18.82778

6 Knox Central  2 7-2 16.86111

7 Fulton            2 6-3 14.90000

8 Page**           4 6-2 14.41667

9 Cherokee      1 6-3 11.99444

10 Giles Co      4 6-3 11.06566

11 Hixson         3 6-3 10.47778

12 Seymour     1 5-4 9.17222

13 Volunteer    1 4-5 8.32222

14 Spring Hill   4 4-5 7.49495

15 Grainger     1 5-4 7.07222

16 East Hamilton 3 5-4 5.57778

17 Chatt Central 3 3-6 5.56667

18 Carter          2 3-7 5.40000

19 Anderson Co 2 3-7 4.90000

20 Sull South*  1 2-7 2.80556

21 Sequoyah   3 2-7 2.05000

22 Lawrence Co 4 3-6 1.61111

23 Livingston   3 1-8 0.55556

24 Cumberland Co 3 0-9 0.00000

25 Sull Central 1 0-9 0.00000

26 Union Co    2 0-9 0.00000

27 Tullahoma  4 0-9 0.00000

 

*The tricky part to this is that anytime a team defeats an out-of-state opponent (or a non-TSSAA sanctioned team), you have to come up with an equivalent classification value for that opponent and track their wins/losses for the entire season. Sullivan South defeated Gate City, VA. Based on Gate City's enrollment, I classified them as 3A (4-5 record currently).

 

**Page is playing a 9-game schedule, so their points have been adjusted accordingly.

 

***Catholic forfeited a win over Morristown West. This officially counts as a loss for Catholic.

 

Regions 5-8:

Rank/Team   Region Record Points

1 Haywood*      7 8-1 21.85000

2 Pearl Cohn    5 8-1 18.63889

3 Macon Co*    5 7-2 16.21667

4 Ridgeway       8 7-3 15.21616

5 Jackson NS   7 6-3 15.07778

6 Lipscomb**    6 6-2 14.91667

7 Lexington       7 7-2 14.76667

8 Maplewood    5 6-3 14.62778

9 Hardin Co      7 6-3 12.78333

10 Mem East    8 8-2 12.00000

11 Dyer Co       7 5-5 9.50000

12 Springfield   5 5-4 8.27778

13 Clarksville NW 6 5-4 7.93939

14 Mont Central 6 3-6 5.18182

15 Kenwood     6 3-6 4.90404

16 Creek Wood 6 4-5 4.78283

17 Millington     8 2-7 3.91667

18 Kingsbury    8 3-7 3.90000

19 Hillwood      6 3-6 3.89899

20 Crockett Co 7 3-6 3.06111

21 Chester Co*** 7 2-7 3.01111

22 Ripley***     7 2-7 2.56111

23 Craigmont   8 1-8 1.65556

24 Obion Co    7 1-8 0.95000

25 Portland      5 1-8 0.55556

26 White House 5 0-9 0.00000

 

*Haywood defeated Marion, IL

*Macon County defeated Meade County, KY

 

**Lipscomb is playing a 9-game schedule, so their points have been adjusted accordingly.

 

***Chester County forfeited games to Ripley and McNairy Central. This officially counts as a win for Ripley.

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