enall

All All tourny teams are listed in the box score of the final games: D2: DII All-Tournament Team:Stephanie Williams(ECS), Tish Pilkerton(FR),Alleisha Easley(BCS), Taylor Parrish(HH), Allie Bohannon (HH),*Jada Mincy(BCS), Nancy Sisk (HH), Melissa Melton(BCS), Sarah Baker(HH) *MVP A Amy Storie(Cloud), Abby Fanning(Moore Co), Waneca Melton(Hunt), Lakeah Lockhart(Hunt), Mariska Reed(EH), Ashley McCool(EH),*Jessica Bobbit(Peabody),Kari Bishop(EH), Jessica Ford(Peabody), Danielle Barnett(Peabody) *MVP AA Ida Sammons(AE), Rebecca Rowsey(ChesterCo), Katrina Beechboard(LA), Brooke Johnson (Seymour), Alysa Bowman(JacksonCo),*Marissa Hensley(JacksonCo), Kendall Cavin(Westview), Courtney Childress(JacksonCo), Ashley Farrell(Westview), Deanna Apple(JacksonCo) *MVP AAA Ashley Shields(Melrose), Kaleah Latham(McMinnCo), Angela Phillips(OR), Tina Broyhill(SevierCo), Alex Fuller(Shelbyville), Dana Carrigan(Beech),*Ashleigh Newman(Shelbyville), Kari Maddox(Beech), Whitney Tate(Shelbyville), Katie Shelton(Beech) *MVP

CoachtFAN , When I did the statistical analysis of the public/private football numbers there was no attempt at bias. The numbers that were generated were just a raw comparison of public vs. private football games since 1993. The span of years between 1993 and present was not picked at random -- but that is the only data I have -- scores from all 16,000 games since 1993. Some while back, I did do an analysis of public/private football playoff games (since I do have the data on those games since 1969) for a talk radio show and found that the percentage of wins by private schools against public schools has remained fairly constant over that time. You bring up an excellent point when you mention that the public schools that have a big losing record against private schools probably do in fact have the same type record against other public schools (and visa-versa) I have no built in bias against any type of school -- and certainly had no hidden adenda when I did the analysis. I welcome any academic debate on the numbers (e.g. the examples you used). Now, here is the latest analysis I am working on -- data not as easy to get as the public/private, but worth the effort to get the data on. What is the record of open enrollment schools vs. other type of schools? But here is an even better one -- what do you think the record of city schools is against other schools? Think of your city schools for a minute: Kingsport Dobyns-Bennett, Milan, Oak Ridge, Maryville, Aloca, Cleveland, Bristol, Covington, Bruceton, Sweetwater , Huntingdon, etc. [Edited by enall on 3-13-03 9:01A]

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Follow the action at http://wlik.net

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Cleveland 24 - Knox Central 14 late third

Greenback 19, Oneida 0 late third Sweetwater 28, Rockwood 6 end of third

Halftime: DB 14, Oak Ridge 0 Cleveland 17, Knox Central 14 Jeff Co. 14, Ooltewah 7 Fulton 20, Seymour 0 Sweetwater 14, Rockwood 6 Gat. Pit 14, Anderson County 0 Greeneville 21, Tennessee 0 Morristown West 14-0

Play-off history for all 2,674 play-off games since 1969 is now available on TSSAA.org web site along with the final 2002 regional standings. Follow the link at: http://tssaa.org/schdir/Sportsmenu.cfm Earl Nall enall@tssaa.org [Edited by enall on 11-3-02 10:47A]

Starting early Monday morning (Oct 28th) play-off possibilities for all classes will be put on the TSSAA.org website. They will start with Class 1A and will be added to the website as each class is finished. Brackets will also be available with the possibilities. Earl Nall enall@tssaa.org

At first glance when a #6 (Brentwood) team defeats a #1 team (Franklin) it pretty much defies conventional logic to see the #6 school actually drop in the ratings. It is very logical to question how this can happen. Here is an overview of what happened. First and most important, the range in ratings of the top 9 5A schools only varies by only 3.5 ratings points. Compare this to the other classifications: 1A - 22; 2A - 17; 3A- 11; 4A - 22. 3.5 points is a razor thin margin. When Franklin lost last week to Brentwood they actually dropped 3.6 points in the ratings - this is a bigger drop than the entire range is of the top 10 5A schools. With the win Brentwood actually increased it rating by almost a point, the problem was that two other schools -- Houston and Whitehaven had bigger ratings increases. Thus, Franklin dropped from 1st to 3rd, but Brentwood dropped because Houston's increase was greater than Brentwood's. With such a slim 3.5 ratings points separating the top 10 schools in 5A you will see lots of position changes each week. Now the ratings program "thinks" Franklin is still better than Brentwood. There are two common opponents: Centennial and Clarksville. Franklin beat Centennial by 21 points, Brentwood beat them by 5. Both teams pretty much beat Clarksville by the same amount. (My ratings treat a 30 point victory the same as a 70 point victory) So, removing the common opponents, we see that Brentwood has not defeated a team (except Franklin) that has a winning record, whereas, Franklin has defeated 5-2 Blackman by 31 points and defeated 4-3 Columbia. So the bottom line is the ratings program sees that in common opponents Franklin has been more impressive, Franklin has defeated more teams with winning records, Franklin's big victory over Blackman was significant. But even with these factors, #7 Brentwood would be favored over #1 Riverdale if the game was played in Brentwood - that is how thin the difference is in 5A football. Probably more than you wanted to know, and still probably disagree, but this is the best explaination I can give. Debate is good.

VG, Tomorrow I will take a more in depth look at this particular situation and give a response.

Ratings of course are academic since we have a playoff -- which I am happy for. For the record however, here is some background on how the ratings work. At the end of each week, I take the new ratings and plug them back in to the initial ratings and run them again and again until I get a delta (statistics term) difference between runs, then the ratings take those new ratings. Doing the ratings like this, compensate for errors generated when the ratings first start up. Example: Suppose the first game of the season Warren County defeats Riverdale 30-0. Right off this is very impressive for Warren County and they make a great leap in the ratings. Now the next three weeks Riverdale gets beat 40-0, 35-0, and 30-0 -- then the computer starts to realize that Riverdale is just not that good and thus the initial victory that Warren County had over them is not as impressive and takes that into account. This is why the ratings get better and more accurate as the season progresses and why a team can win a big game and still drop in the ratings, because their strength of schedule is always being evaluated. Last year the week 10 ratings picked 12 of the 16 finalists that made it to the eight championship games in all classifications. This is pretty good. But, I do the ratings for fun -- don't take them too seriously. If you have specific questions please send them to me and I'll try to answer. enall@prepratings.com

State-wide regional standings for football are available at http://tssaa.org/schdir/standings.htm They can also be found from a link on the TSSAA.org scoreboard page http://tssaa.org/schdir/Sportsmenu.cfm They will be updated each week for the rest of the regular season.

Years ago when I helped out coaching our junior high team in Melbourne, Fla we were playing a close game against one of our rivals. The stands were about empty and late in the game our running back broke lose on long touchdown run. The player's dad was in the bleachers and started running along the top of the bleachers cheering for his son. The problem is that the stands ended at the 20 yard line. The dad never saw it coming and disappeared from sight.