They were close last year because they played one really good game in region and beat a team I really thought they shouldve lost to, but thats fine- they played well. Where they really got lucky was when FRA, among others, lost to teams in the first round that they shouldve beat. True, NCS split the season series with FRA 1-1, but most people watching those games would agree NCS was outmatched. NCS may turn out good this year, its possible, but unless theyve improved a lot from last year, theyre no threat to the state title. I dont think theyll even make it to substate.