To be honest, I don't know alot about Pair.( maybe you could fill me in )
I do know It would be hard for me to say anybody at 125 is the odds on favorite over someone who is the returning state champ in that weight class, who has wrestled up one and two weights all year and still has a 55-1 record, and has two OW awards so far for this year.
If Pair has the stats to top those then I will agree with you. This is in no way a knock on Pair, just what you said.