District 3 and 4 outlook

[jerbear]

who did coalfield scrimmage friday and how did it go?

 

Coalfield scrimmaged Polk County and Midway. Polk County was the easy winner. PC has had a pretty decent football program for several years and is picked to win their district this year...I believe PC is 3A (play-off level). PC scored on both Midway and Coalfield in the long field part of the scrimmage and then scored fairly easily on both teams in the goalline offense. Coalfield did score on PC in the goalline but I don't believe that Midway did. Coalfield only scored once on Midway and that was with Coalfield's best back (#42) against Midway's second team defense. Midway scored once during the long field and twice on goalline against Coalfield.

[jerbear]

ONEIDA: It's a good thing that Oneida has 3 out of district games with some fairly good competition otherwise O's road to the play-offs would be just too easy. It's probably going to be pretty easy anyhow as the combined record of the other district teams last year was 13 and 50 (that's 21% wins). Not a single other team had a winning record and only Coalfield made it to the play-offs with an upset win over Harriman. The 3 out of district games are with Gatlinburg-Pittman, DeKalb County, and Cumberland Gap. These teams are no cupcakes and O could potentially lose all of these (or win all or these).

 

GP: GP has had a number of good years recently but they apparently lost quite a bit from last year.....so did O. GP is an intimidating place to play. I had initially thought this would be a loss for O but I know think O will pull this out in a close game. Win 1 for O.

 

DeKalb Co: This game is away as well. Their is a lot of hype about DC this year. DC returns some exceptional skill players....QB like Greenback's Bunky. Apparently DC's defense is a little suspect. I believe this will be a close game but I'm predicting this to be a loss for O.

 

Wartburg: Wartburg doesn't have a chance. Win for O.

 

Cumberland Gap: CG and O have played the last two years. CG won the first year; O won last year. CG certainly has some talent but I believe O will win this year but it will also be a close game.

 

The rest of the teams are district teams and O will roll over all of them.

 

Greenback lost too much, Oakdale too small, OS too slow, Coalfield too small, Sunbright too in disarray, Jellico doesn't expect to win for than 1 game a year.

 

OUTLOOK ONEIDA: 9 and 1; 6 and 0 in the district. One of the easiest paths to the play-offs of any local teams.

[crow]

ONEIDA: It's a good thing that Oneida has 3 out of district games with some fairly good competition otherwise O's road to the play-offs would be just too easy. It's probably going to be pretty easy anyhow as the combined record of the other district teams last year was 13 and 50 (that's 21% wins). Not a single other team had a winning record and only Coalfield made it to the play-offs with an upset win over Harriman. The 3 out of district games are with Gatlinburg-Pittman, DeKalb County, and Cumberland Gap. These teams are no cupcakes and O could potentially lose all of these (or win all or these).

 

GP: GP has had a number of good years recently but they apparently lost quite a bit from last year.....so did O. GP is an intimidating place to play. I had initially thought this would be a loss for O but I know think O will pull this out in a close game. Win 1 for O.

 

DeKalb Co: This game is away as well. Their is a lot of hype about DC this year. DC returns some exceptional skill players....QB like Greenback's Bunky. Apparently DC's defense is a little suspect. I believe this will be a close game but I'm predicting this to be a loss for O.

 

Wartburg: Wartburg doesn't have a chance. Win for O.

 

Cumberland Gap: CG and O have played the last two years. CG won the first year; O won last year. CG certainly has some talent but I believe O will win this year but it will also be a close game.

 

The rest of the teams are district teams and O will roll over all of them.

 

Greenback lost too much, Oakdale too small, OS too slow, Coalfield too small, Sunbright too in disarray, Jellico doesn't expect to win for than 1 game a year.

 

OUTLOOK ONEIDA: 9 and 1; 6 and 0 in the district. One of the easiest paths to the play-offs of any local teams.

JB, I think Wartburg is a district game & Greenback moved to a different district this year. Other than that I hope your prediction comes true with 1 exception .

[jerbear]

"JB, I think Wartburg is a district game & Greenback moved to a different district this year. Other than that I hope your prediction comes true with 1 exception .

 

 

You are correct, my bad. I realized that later when I was trying to think of the 4th out of district team.

[jerbear]

ROCKWOOD: For the last 4 years, Rockwood has only had one winning season (6-5 in 2007). Despite this, Rockwood is a good football team/program. They beat the teams that they should beat most of the time (upset by Harriman last year). Larger schools should be able to beat smaller schools simply because larger schools should have a greater selection of atheletes. Now some larger schools don't win the games they should...but Rockwood does and this is most likely because of good coaches who have built a winning program. At least for the last few years, Rockwood hasn't really had the super athelete, but what they do have are a good group of blue collar football players...they have a "team". This should be a great year for Rockwood football. The re-districting has been very kind to Rockwood....no more Alcoa. Rockwood just needs to beat Tellico Plains and they are in the play-offs.....the road to the play-offs can't get much easier. For the past 4 years TP has only won 3 games. I'd really be surprised if there is any team in the state that has an easier road to the play-offs. Yet, Rockwood's schedule is not as easy.

 

Sweetwater: SW has a new coach. The games with SW are usually close but Rockwood has held the edge winning all games back to 2003 except for 2006. The game is at SW. Rockwood has been looking good in scrimmages. This should be another win for Rockwood this year but history says it will be close.

 

Greenback: GB is down this year and what I've gathered from scrimage results suggest that GB won't do as well as I predicted earlier. Another win for RW.

 

Kingston: RW typically loses to Kingston in recent years. I saw Kingston scrimmage against Wartburg last Friday (tied with Wartburg). Kingston being the bigger school should have dominated but they didn't; Wartburg was impressive against Kingston. I believe RW will get the W this year.

 

Tellico: Expect a blow out win for Rockwood.

 

Coalfield: W for Rockwood.

 

Grace Christian: GC is a little bit of a mystery. Haven't heard much substantial so don't really know what they've got....I know they lost some good skill players. Regardless, RW should still get the win.

 

Wartburg: Game will be closer than I thought 4 weeks ago, in fact it might be won by a touchdown. I still have to go with RW for the win.

 

Midway: W for Rockwood.

 

Bledsoe: W for Rockwood.

 

Harriman: Rockwood gets revenge for last year and wins by 3 touchdowns.

 

WOW: Rockwood goes 10-0 for the first time since ?????? Closest game, probably Kingston. So the road to the play-offs might be easy but if RW goes 10-0...they deserve it.

[Tigers24Fan]

ROCKWOOD: For the last 4 years, Rockwood has only had one winning season (6-5 in 2007). Despite this, Rockwood is a good football team/program. They beat the teams that they should beat most of the time (upset by Harriman last year). Larger schools should be able to beat smaller schools simply because larger schools should have a greater selection of atheletes. Now some larger schools don't win the games they should...but Rockwood does and this is most likely because of good coaches who have built a winning program. At least for the last few years, Rockwood hasn't really had the super athelete, but what they do have are a good group of blue collar football players...they have a "team". This should be a great year for Rockwood football. The re-districting has been very kind to Rockwood....no more Alcoa. Rockwood just needs to beat Tellico Plains and they are in the play-offs.....the road to the play-offs can't get much easier. For the past 4 years TP has only won 3 games. I'd really be surprised if there is any team in the state that has an easier road to the play-offs. Yet, Rockwood's schedule is not as easy.

 

Sweetwater: SW has a new coach. The games with SW are usually close but Rockwood has held the edge winning all games back to 2003 except for 2006. The game is at SW. Rockwood has been looking good in scrimmages. This should be another win for Rockwood this year but history says it will be close.

 

Greenback: GB is down this year and what I've gathered from scrimage results suggest that GB won't do as well as I predicted earlier. Another win for RW.

 

Kingston: RW typically loses to Kingston in recent years. I saw Kingston scrimmage against Wartburg last Friday (tied with Wartburg). Kingston being the bigger school should have dominated but they didn't; Wartburg was impressive against Kingston. I believe RW will get the W this year.

 

Tellico: Expect a blow out win for Rockwood.

 

Coalfield: W for Rockwood.

 

Grace Christian: GC is a little bit of a mystery. Haven't heard much substantial so don't really know what they've got....I know they lost some good skill players. Regardless, RW should still get the win.

 

Wartburg: Game will be closer than I thought 4 weeks ago, in fact it might be won by a touchdown. I still have to go with RW for the win.

 

Midway: W for Rockwood.

 

Bledsoe: W for Rockwood.

 

Harriman: Rockwood gets revenge for last year and wins by 3 touchdowns.

 

WOW: Rockwood goes 10-0 for the first time since ?????? Closest game, probably Kingston. So the road to the play-offs might be easy but if RW goes 10-0...they deserve it.

First off......outstanding thread......I've really enjoyed it and agree with most everything you've posted....however.....

 

Sweetwater: I love this series.......almost always a very hard fought,close game.....as you pointed out....i expect nothing less this year.....could go either way

 

Kingston: Lost a ton of players......and all indications may be in Rockwoods favor........but until Rockwood actually beats them,Kingston has to be the favorite in this one

 

Harriman: Guess i have a higher opinion of Harriman than most people outside of Harriman.....(they will beat Midway).......I don't see this one as a 3 TD win for either team

 

Wartburg: Returns basically the same team.......that Rockwood beat, I think, 51-0........Wartburg will be better....but not that much better

 

I hope your predictions hold up

[jerbear]

SUNBRIGHT: This season, SB plays 6 teams with losing to dismal records. SB should beat all of these teams if SB stays healthy. I saw SB scrimmage a much less enthused Harriman team last night. I don't think either team scored but both got close. Harriman kept Inman on the sidelines when on offense; otherwise Harriman probably would have scored; regardless SB looked good on both offense and defense. The scary thing for any small school (and I think that SB is even smaller than Oakdale now) is depth. I only saw about 10 players on SBs sideline. SB has a very good QB and WR (sometimes running back). These two accounted for the majority of SB's yardage. If either one of two goes out, SB will likely lose some games that otherwise they wouldn't. They do have some other good players but the two aforementioned players are clearly stand-outs.

 

North Greene: NG is the worst of the greenes. They've won 3 games in 3 years. They haven't really been competitive in games they have lost. SB should start the year with a relatively easy win.

 

Whitwell: Whit did not have a good year in 2008 (1-9) but they have been a little more competitive in a tougher district than NG. All the same, SB should get this win.

 

Coalfield: The game is at SB. This game is basically for the play-offs and will be a close hard fought game. Coalfield has beat SB for the past several years. I'd say that SB has the two best players of these teams. But I'm going with history and pride....this will be SB's first loss of the year. (could be an upset though)

 

Jellico: SB wins.

 

RBS: Lots of talk and excitement about RBS getting a win this year. It won't be against SB (unless injuries strike). SB win.

 

Kings Academy: Don't know much about KA. This will probably be a fairly close game. Going with SB for the win.

 

Oakdale: If SB's two stars stay injury-free, should be a win for SB. Earlier I had predicted Oakdale to win a close game.....I haven't seen Oakdale scrimmage but have read that their numbers playing are down to 20 something but that only 14 were at a scrimmage. I'm changing my earlier prediction based on observations of SB's scrimmage last night and it is a home game for SB. This win goes to SB.

 

The final three games will be losses for SB (Oliver Springs, Oneida, and Wartburg). An upset by SB is possible but very unlikely.

 

SUNBRIGHT OUTLOOK: 6 & 4; 2 & 4 in district. Unlikely to make it to the play-offs. Even with the wildcard, the six wins would be against losing programs.

[jerbear]

TELLICO PLAINS: TP has a lot to prove before any respect can come their way. They went 0-10 in 2007 and 1-9 last year. The 1 win (a dominating one) was against Grundy Co. They had 2 competitve games against Meigs Co and Norte Dame. The rest of the games were whippings. This year TP is in a different district....but not necessarily an easier one. There are 4 1A teams but none could be described as cupcakes (OK, some could describe them as cupcakes but all of these programs have been good over the last couple years). The question is NOT will TP have a winning season but will TP win a game. Honestly, I know little about TP other than their record....haven't heard about any scrimmages or jamborees or read any newspaper articles about them.....but maybe there's a reason for lack of news.

 

First 3 games are against Sweetwater, Sequoyah, and Grace Christian, I don't see TP having much of a chance against these 3 (GC will have a better record than what I predicted earlier....will be interesting to see how they do against CAK next week). 3 losses for TP.

 

Coalfield: I still believe Coalfield will win but based on how Coalfield has looked in scrimmages and such, this will be a closer game than I previously thought and could be an upset win for TP. Still, my money is on Coalfield.

 

Rockwood, Meigs, Harriman, Polk Co: No opportunities here. 4 losses for TP

 

Greenback: From what I have gathered GB is going to be way down this year (GC will beat GB...I had previously predicted otherwise)....I had also predicted GB would beat TP. I believe this is TP's best shot for a win....however the game is at GB....a hard place to win. Because this is TP's best shot....I'm saying they will win this one.

 

Midway: another loss for TP.

 

OUTLOOK TELLICO PLAINS: 1-9 on the season and 1-4 in the district. No play-offs for the next 4 years....TP would have to beat Rockwood. Okay TP.....make me wrong.

 

Monday or Tuesday...the last team in districts 3 and 4: WARTBURG

[jerbear]

WARTBURG: Over the last 4 years, Wartburg has won 1 game. Last year WB, beat Coalfield. No other games were even close (at least final score) over the last 4 years. In 2002, Wartburg was GOOD. They beat Alcoa that year.....but still lost to Oliver Springs. 2009 may be a turn-around for this program. If WB plays like they did against Kingston and Karns, respect will follow. If they get down and get frustrated...could be another long season. Wartburg scrimmaged Taft last week and apparently the outcome was disappointing....they won 7 to 6...but clearly expected to do a lot better (Maybe this is a good Taft team....). I still think this will be a multi-win season...and play-offs are possible.

 

Monterey: Monterey was 2-8 last season and did have some close games. Monterey also returns most of their skill players. This is an extremely important game. If WB plays like they did against Kingston, WB will win convincingly. If WB loses, it will be hard to have a winning season. I saw a good WB team both offensively and defensively during the Webb scrimmage and believe that WB will win.

 

Midway: I stand by my previous prediction. First loss for WB.

 

Oneida: I stand by previous prediction but WB has a chance (previously said they didn't). Loss 2 for WB.

 

Harriman: I don't get Harriman. Maybe they just hold back, but a lack-luster showing at the jamboree and losing to Stone 19-0 (I think) in a scrimmage makes me wonder what the problem is. This game is a toss-up. History would certainly say that Harriman wins (as my previous post) but now I'm leaning toward the second WB win.

 

Oakdale: Stand by previous post. W for WB.

 

Coalfield: In my previous post, I had Coalfield winning. Not any more. Wartburg wins this one.

 

Rockwood: Stand by previous post. L for WB.

 

Jellico: Stand by previous post. W for WB.

 

Oliver Springs: I had OS winning previously. I think this will be a very hard fought game but now think that WB will get the win.

 

Sunbright: Stand by previous post. W for WB.

 

OUTLOOK FOR WB: 7-3; 6 AND 1 in the district and on to the play-offs. If the first game is a loss, the season could be 3 and 7.