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Who can clinch tonight (Class 1A)

silverpie

By silverpie
in Class 1A & Class 2A

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silverpie Medalist

silverpie

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(Note: I'm assuming we don't get previous results overturned by ineligibles. If that happens, all bets are off.)

Region 1:

Straight up, the Cloudland-Jellico game decides first and second. Hancock County is third.

 

Region 2:

Coalfield is in, and is guaranteed top three with a win from Sunbright or Oakdale.

Greenback can clinch with a win (in fact, would clinch third), and gets a home game if Sunbright wins too.

Harriman must win to stay alive. To keep a chance at third place, they also need either Oliver Springs or Sunbright to lose.

Midway's playoff fate will not be decided tonight. They do need to win to remain in the title race, and if they lose and Greenback wins, they cannot even finish second.

Oakdale, like Harriman, can at best hope for third. If Greenback or Sunbright wins, they can only hope for fourth, and a loss ends all hope for the Eagles.

Oliver Springs can clinch a playoff bid with a win plus a Midway win. To remain in the hunt for the title and the unusual first-round bye, they must either win or get a Greenback loss.

Sunbright's best possible finish is second. This drops to third if Greenback wins, and to fourth if the Tigers themselves lose.

 

Region 3:

South Pittsburg and Copper Basin will almost certainly finish 1-2, in order of their result tonight.

Lookout Valley can maintain a small hope of the top two with a win, and even stays in the title hunt if South Pittsburg also wins.

The Marion County pair and the Lookout Valley-Copper Basin winner will be the top 3, with the LV-CB loser fourth.

Sale Creek was out even if they'd won last night.

 

Region 4:

Clay County will still be in the title hunt after tonight, and will still not be sure of qualifying.

Gordonsville is already in, as third or better, and wraps up second with a win.

Jo Byrns cannot clinch a bid tonight, but a loss will cap their finish at second.

No one else can win the region. Monterey and RBS have to win to stay in the hunt for a home opener, while Pickett County can hold onto that hope even with a loss if Jo Byrns and RBS both lose. Monterey also risks elimination from the top three if they lose and Jo Byrns wins.

Republic can only sneak into fourth; a loss or a Monterey win will mean the end of their trail for the year.

 

Region 5:

Congratulations to the region champion Cornersville Bulldogs!

The rest is a scramble, with Fayetteville, Grace Christian, Moore County, and Mount Pleasant all being able to finish anywhere from second to out. Nothing tonight can falsify that statement.

In addition, Richland can reach third, but only if Moore County loses tonight. Elsewise, Richland can only get to fourth.

Finally, Huntland is also alive for third, but is eliminated outright with a loss tonight.

 

Region 6:

Collinwood is out of the first-place race if they lose or Huntingdon wins.

Hollow Rock-Bruceton can at best finish second, and that drops to third if Wayne County wins.

Huntingdon is guaranteed a home game, and can win the region outright with a win or with losses by Collinwood and Wayne County.

McEwen is out of the title race already; to stay alive for second, they need a win or a Collinwood loss.

Middleton and Perry County each need a win to stay alive, for fourth only.

Wayne County loses its chance at the title if they lose or Huntingdon wins. If they win along with Collinwood and Huntingdon, they clinch a postseason appearance.

 

Region 7

Dresden is in. A Greenfield win assures the Lions of second place, while a Lake County win means at least third for Dresden.

Gleason needs a win and a Lake County loss to stay alive for the title. A loss means the Bulldogs can do no better than fourth.

Greenfield cannot finish first, and a loss eliminates them from second place too.

Lake County clinches a playoff spot with a win; in fact, this would guarantee them third, or second if Gleason also wins. They can be eliminated from the title race with a loss if Greenfield wins.

South Fulton's best possibility is second; to keep that requires a win and a Lake County loss.

West Carroll will still be alive for the title if they win; a loss means they can at best finish third.

 

Region 8

Booker T. Washington is already out of contention for first. If they lose, they cannot hope for second either; third would then be out of reach if Freedom Prep, KIPP, or Oakhaven wins. If it's Freedom Prep, or both KIPP and Oakhaven, then they are out altogether. Even if the Warriors win, they can be eliminated from second by wins from Hillcrest and Westwood.

Freedom Prep needs a win to keep its shot at first.

Hillcrest cannot clinch anything nor be eliminated from anything.

KIPP is out of the title race if they lose or if Hillcrest wins. They are out for second if both.

Middle College is also out for first if they lose or if Hillcrest wins.

Oakhaven can at best finish second; to retain that hope, they need a win and at least one loss between Hillcrest and Westwood. A win keeps them in the race for third no matter what, as do losses by both Freedom Prep and KIPP.

Science and Engineering is already playing for no better than third, and must win for any playoff hope to remain. Wins from Freedom Prep and Middle College would eliminate even a victorious MASE; either Freedom Prep or KIPP winning knocks MASE out of third-place contention.

Westwood cannot clinch anything nor be eliminated from anything

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rlh Hall of Famer

rlh

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, silverpie said:

(Note: I'm assuming we don't get previous results overturned by ineligibles. If that happens, all bets are off.)

 

 

 

Region 3:

South Pittsburg and Copper Basin will almost certainly finish 1-2, in order of their result tonight.

Lookout Valley can maintain a small hope of the top two with a win, and even stays in the title hunt if South Pittsburg also wins.

The Marion County pair and the Lookout Valley-Copper Basin winner will be the top 3, with the LV-CB loser fourth.

Sale Creek was out even if they'd won last night.

 i

You got Region 3 all messed up.  SP and Whitwell are playing tonight and both are 7 - 0 going in.  The winner will be #1 and loser #2.  LV and Copper Pan are duking it out for 3 & 4. 

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