DII Playoff Scenarios

[WesVLT]

Because I need a break at work...

East/Middle
Ensworth is first. Even with a loss to BA, the Tigers would hold the head-to-head tiebreaker with MBA.

MBA is second. Even with a loss to McCallie, the Big Red would hold head-to-head tiebreakers with BA and Ryan.

If Ensworth beats Brentwood Academy and Father Ryan beats Baylor...Father Ryan is third, BA is fourth and Baylor is fifth.

If Brentwood Academy beats Ensworth and Baylor beats Father Ryan...BA is third, Baylor is fourth and Father Ryan is fifth. Baylor would hold the tiebreaker with Father Ryan.

If Brentwood Academy beats Ensworth and Father Ryan beats Baylor...Ryan is third, BA is fourth and Baylor is fifth. Ryan would hold the tiebreaker with BA.

If Ensworth beats Brentwood Academy and Baylor beats Father Ryan...then BA, Ryan and Baylor would have the same league record. They would also have the same number of overall victories. Brentwood Academy has played 8 games against teams at .500 or better. Baylor has played 6 and Ryan has played 5. Thus, BA is third. Baylor would then hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over Ryan; thus, Baylor is fourth and Ryan is fifth.

McCallie is sixth. Even with a win against MBA and a Baylor loss to Father Ryan, the Red Raiders hold the tiebreaker.

Pope John Paul II is seventh.

West
The winner of MUS-Briarcrest is first. The loser is second. Both teams get first-round byes and will host quarterfinal games.

The winner of CBHS-St. Benedict is third. The loser is fourth. The winner will host the loser in the first round of the playoffs, with the winner of that game to visit Ensworth in the quarterfinals.

Playoff seeding tiebreakers
A. Head-to-head result
B. Overall number of victories
C. Games against teams .500 or better
D. Wins against teams .500 or better
E. Team whose opponents have the most overall victories
F. Team whose opponents have fewer defeats
G. Team with the greatest number of victories over teams in its own class
H. A 10-yard overtime procedure at a neutral site

Edited October 30, 2013 by WesVLT

[owlbooster]

In other words, the only game that really matters is Father Ryan-Baylor. If FR beats Baylor, then none of the other games affect the seeding.  It'll be FR 3, BA 4 and Baylor 5.

[WesVLT]

Predictions this week:

 

MBA 31, McCallie 13

Baylor 24, Father Ryan 20

MUS 42, Briarcrest 7

CBHS 28, St. Benedict 6

 

No BA-Ensworth pick since I'm calling the game.

Edited October 30, 2013 by WesVLT

[Custer]

I like FR over Baylor, who (baylor) has struggled with Nashville teams this year, except JP2

[owlbooster]

I like FR over Baylor, who (baylor) has struggled with Nashville teams this year, except JP2

Plus FR is playing at home.

[bounder]

And Coach Lussier's son-in-law coaches at Baylor. I'm going to come down from the east Tenn. hills and watch this one. Plus visit with some good friends.

[Birddog]

I like FR over Baylor, who (baylor) has struggled with Nashville teams this year, except JP2

LOL what team has not struggled with the NASHVILLE teams. They have struggled against each other. I look for the game to be close with Baylors special teams making the difference.

[Custer]

And Coach Lussier's son-in-law coaches at Baylor. I'm going to come down from the east Tenn. hills and watch this one. Plus visit with some good friends.

 

Wow I did not know Lussier's kid coached at Baylor. My mind is blown

[bluelion]

Baylor goes on the road and gets a very good win over Father Ryan. Big win for the Red Raiders.

[Birddog]

LOL what team has not struggled with the NASHVILLE teams. They have struggled against each other. I look for the game to be close with Baylors special teams making the difference.

[owlbooster]

 

LOL what team has not struggled with the NASHVILLE teams. They have struggled against each other. I look for the game to be close with Baylors special teams making the difference.

 

Did special teams make the difference?  I was watching 3-4 games simultaneously and didn't really notice this one way or the other.... 

[Birddog]

Baylors punter pinned FR inside the 10 a couples of times and had a huge punt to turn the field over late in the game. I was think more of our kicker though being the difference