WestRun.com Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 What fun would state meet week be without some predictions. Here's mine: AAA Boys Team Scores 1 Houston 67 2 Bearden 55 3 Cordova 49 4 Hunters Lane 44 5 Brainerd 31 6 LaVergne 30 7 Bolton 28 8 Knoxville West 27 9 McGavock 26 10 Hamilton 25 11 Craigmont 22 12 Franklin 20 12 Riverdale 20 Houston is the deepest, most talented team we have seen in a while other than Brentwood Academy. Houston would have won the last 2 team state championships if they would have gotten credit for their athletes who were ranked in the top 8 of the state and just did not make it out to state. I wonder if Colin Abercrombie will run on their 4x800... Simeon Harris of Cordova is a one man show. Bearden needs Bryan Webb to have a good meet to do well. Brenard Wilson is Hunters Lane. Rob Sorrell of Bolton is in a league of his own in distance. Evan Lavin of Knoxville West will be going for a throws double and 60' in the shot put. Michael Ayers of Ravenwood is only a sophomore and will dominate the decathlon for the next 3 years along with gunning for 15' in the pole vault now. Again, Section 4-AAA was the toughest Section to qualify out of. AAA Girls Team Scores 1 Brentwood 74 2 Knoxville West 57 3 Rossview 46 4 Memphis East 41 5 Memphis Central 34 5 William Blount 34 7 Bearden 30 8 Riverdale 29 9 Millington 25 9 White Station 25 11 Red Bank 24 11 Tullahoma 24 13 Ridgeway 23 14 Ravenwood 22 15 Brainerd 21 15 Science Hill 21 Brentwood will not score 100 points, but will win again. Lauren Stewart will be sadly missed by everyone next year, especially AAA girl jumpers. It does not hurt that Brentwood is also strong in the distances, although Kali Holtfreter of Hendersonville messes them up in sections. Knoxville West has a freshman phenom in Jackie Coward who will threaten 5 or 6 state records before she graduates. They also have done very well with their distance crew. Rossview brings some sprinters including Lynette Rives and has already ran a state record 4x400. Marissa Harris of Memphis Central will be going for her 4th straight 100 Hurdle title. Aisha Adams of Millington might be the best athlete in the state nobody knows about. Memphis East is still very fast. White Station has 2 of the states top young distance runners in Rita Jorgensen and Virginia Hine. No one section stands out as the dominate one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
runnerboy Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 3200 Rob Sorrell Clay Hannah 1600 Rob Sorrell Zach Moss 800 Kelvin Hill Rob Sorrell Michael Billingsley James Gilreath 400 Bryan Webb 4x400 Bearden 4x800 Houston Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BHSfootball Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 4x400 Bearden As much as we would love the 4x400 win, two of our guys are gonna be gassed after the 200m, and the third will be running the 300ih. To break 3:20 after all that would be a complete gut check. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kenwoodrun Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 As much as we would love the 4x400 win, two of our guys are gonna be gassed after the 200m, and the third will be running the 300ih. To break 3:20 after all that would be a complete gut check. 825680591[/snapback] Wow, I figured it would be you all and Cordova fighting that one out, I didn't know Ridgeway had a 3:18. That's hauling some serious butt. Everybody will have to get on their horses to run with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BHSfootball Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 (edited) Wow, I figured it would be you all and Cordova fighting that one out, I didn't know Ridgeway had a 3:18. That's hauling some serious butt. Everybody will have to get on their horses to run with that. 825680597[/snapback] Well, we cruised our 3:26 to qualify, but I don't know if its +7 seconds worth of cruising. I would be willing to bet Cordova will dip to 3:18. They are gonna have fresher legs, but so will we and I KNOW Ridgeway will b/c they have nobody in anything else. Any predictions on the meet as a whole Kenwood? Congrats to your 4x2. I'll see you at states! You gonna be around for boy's field? You should make your way down to the shot. Edited May 23, 2005 by BHSfootball Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joink'n Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 The best I can see us doing in the 4x400 is about 3:21-3:23 and that is asking about a second per person. It's very possible for us to pick up some time on handoffs because they were pathetic at Regions, but Ridgeway and Cordova are going to be doing the real battling. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crusader Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 Shotput Corey Moore from Liberty Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kenwoodrun Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 Well, we cruised our 3:26 to qualify, but I don't know if its +7 seconds worth of cruising. I would be willing to bet Cordova will dip to 3:18. They are gonna have fresher legs, but so will we and I KNOW Ridgeway will b/c they have nobody in anything else. Any predictions on the meet as a whole Kenwood? Congrats to your 4x2. I'll see you at states! You gonna be around for boy's field? You should make your way down to the shot. 825680602[/snapback] I think Coach Chris's is based on a "form chart", and form charts are meant to be broken. There were a lot of teams like your 4x4 that just cruised to get in and that will be a lot faster in the finals. So we what fit into the form chart as 2 points should really be 6 or 8. That's happening a lot, so the point totals are going to be noticeably different when we do this for real. I think a lot of Houston's success is happening right now as we speak, as they got the motherlode into the decathlon. After tomorrow, it'll be easier to prognosticate I think Houston has the horses, but they can't afford any miscues. I'm definitely going to try to come around for the shot...I need to see that kid from Knox West drop a 60' bomb. I'm still a little depressed our triple jumper would be 3rd in the state and he's not even jumping. He was 3rd in sections behind the 1st and 2nd seeded guys in the state...so I'll have to stay away from the jumps for my sake. Girls...I know Chris isn't going to like this, but I figure rougly Brentwood 80, Rossview 62, and his girls a close third. For example, the 100m dash...Rossview's studettes seed 7th and 8th. But Lynette has finished 2nd in the 100 for the last 2 years in a row as state, and Trish was 3rd two years ago. Lynette has beaten everyone in the field except for Erica Palmer...so what probably went in the form chart as 3 points for Rossview should probably be closer to 12, even coming out of lanes 1 and 8. Just an example among many that makes this thing impossible to predict. But fun, anyway. And Chris...awesome, awesome work with results and the predictions. You helped a ton this year. Sorry I'm betting against your girls for the runner up spot Did you figure the pentathlon / decathlon in your predictions. BHS gets 10 and RHS 6 out of today, I'm guessing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BHSfootball Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 Well if you do make it down to the shot, I'll be the "boy" in the Bearden jersey out there with the hosses.....haha. I'll be throwing discus too. I know I'll be sticking around to the end of the meet also, so if you catch me in person, let me know who you are. Good luck to all at the state meet! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kenwoodrun Posted May 23, 2005 Report Share Posted May 23, 2005 Well if you do make it down to the shot, I'll be the "boy" in the Bearden jersey out there with the hosses.....haha. I'll be throwing discus too. I know I'll be sticking around to the end of the meet also, so if you catch me in person, let me know who you are. Good luck to all at the state meet! 825680696[/snapback] I just looked at your marks...you are a monster in both throws. Good gravy, your shot from sectional would have won state last year by plenty. A monster, I say. It's also good to have a guy that can unload the shot and also wing the disc. I've known a ton of throwers who are great in one, but just so-so in the other. Must be a pretty good technician to be that solid in both. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigDogDaddy Posted May 24, 2005 Report Share Posted May 24, 2005 (edited) 3200Rob Sorrell Clay Hannah 1600 Rob Sorrell Zach Moss 800 Kelvin Hill Rob Sorrell Michael Billingsley James Gilreath 400 Bryan Webb 4x400 Bearden 4x800 Houston 825680580[/snapback] Bryan Webb in the 400...what about John Hewitt from Franklin? Does a 47.99 at Great Eight give him a chance against Bryan Webb? Edited May 24, 2005 by BigDogDaddy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BHSfootball Posted May 24, 2005 Report Share Posted May 24, 2005 I just looked at your marks...you are a monster in both throws. Good gravy, your shot from sectional would have won state last year by plenty. A monster, I say. It's also good to have a guy that can unload the shot and also wing the disc. I've known a ton of throwers who are great in one, but just so-so in the other. Must be a pretty good technician to be that solid in both. 825680853[/snapback] Me and Evan Lavin work out together down at Knoxville Track Club, so we've both learned to throw well together. I know he is hoping to represent region 1 very well, and so am I. I would love nothing more than to see him shatter the 60 foot barrier. I see I've got my work cut out for me in the shot, and the kid from Houston has been a frequent competitor of mine at big meets in the discus over the last several years. I was elated at qualifying with a big throw at sectionals, but I had a 54 footer land literally on the chalk, so I know its in me. I feel like I'm peaking at the right time, so I hope I can have a big meet Friday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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