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Powell at West : Who you got?


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So Powell's playoff chances are slim, but they have a way in, for those who've asked. Obviously, they'd have to stun Oak Ridge in 2 weeks to get to two region wins, and as you'll read, they'd need to beat South Doyle to get that 3rd overall win. If they pull that feat off, here's how it would have to play out (in region play):

  • Fulton and Oak Ridge have already clinched, so we'll ignore them.
  • Karns and Clinton have one region win (Powell*). Clinton still has region games against OR, CC, and Karns, while Karns only has Clinton. If Clinton loses to OR and CC, the Karns/Clinton loser is eliminated. The winner will finish 2-4 (with a "win" over Powell). Seems reasonable.
  • Campbell County and West have 2 wins (CC beat Karns and Powell*, West beat Clinton and Karns). CC still has Fulton, Clinton, and West, while West has Fulton and CC. If CC beats Clinton, they should clinch a playoff spot with 3 region wins. That leaves one spot for either Powell or West.
  • That West/CC game would be the key game, since West needs to beat either Fulton or CC to get to 3 region wins. If they lose both, West finishes 2-4, which would tie them with both Powell and the Karns/Clinton winner.
  • West, Powell, and Karns/Clinton would have the same head-to-head record (1-1).
  • This is where things get really muddy. I believe the next tie-breaker is overall wins. In this scenario, if Powell wins out, all three teams would be 3-7 overall. Karns would actually clinch in this scenario, if they beat Clinton and Seymour, as they would have 4 wins.  
  • The team who has played the greatest number of opponents who won 50 percent or more of their games is the next tie-breaker. In this scenario, West has 5 (possibly 7), Powell has 5 (possibly 6), Clinton has 5, and Karns has 4 (possibly 5). If Hardin Valley can find a 5th win (Bearden, Farragut, DB), that would clinch the final spot for West. (Powell and West both played Halls, who is trying to get to 5 wins). But if not...
  • The team who has the greatest number of wins over teams who have won 50 percent or more of their games is the next tie-breaker. In this scenario, West would have none (possibly 1 - Halls), Powell would have 2, and Karns/Clinton would have none. Powell would clinch the final spot if we get to this scenario.

Of course, this all assumes that Powell stuns OR and South Doyle. So I probably wasted my time researching this...

Edited by osunut2
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2 hours ago, SweetScience said:

True, but it sure helped having Cottrell and Seth Marshall back then. ;)

West is apparent not using their IB program to bring in many recruits. Cottrell , zoned for Gibbs and Marshal, zoned for Bearden, were good recruits. Who knows how many others Cummings recruited is an not know. The recruiting in Bradley Co. is not going well for Cummings. He might be headed back to his beloved Marble City IB program. By the way if you enter West from another zone under IB program, you do not have to stay in the IB program and very few students graduate with an IB diploma. 

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