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Rural West TN Top 12 (Outside Shelby Co)


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48 minutes ago, stacmot said:


Too much time on my hands...Part II.

Last week, I looked at Sonny Moore's ratings/predictions for games involving teams from Region 7-4A.  This week, I'm looking at Moore's ratings/predictions for all of the games involving our teams from rural West Tennessee.

I rounded all ratings to the nearest whole number, and as Moore suggests, I did add 2 points for home field advantage.  It should be fun to see how accurate his predictions might, or might not, be.

Some of the point spreads are insane, but I would hope coaches would give their younger players an opportunity to play once their wins are secure.  So, I wouldn't look for any kind of point spread accuracy in those games.

I also looked at Massey's match-up tool last week.  If I have time, and that is a big if, I might look at his predictions for this week's games as well.
 


South Fulton (81) at Ballard County, KY (?)

Hardin Co. (130) at Adamsville (99+2)  Hardin Co. by 29

Liberty Magnet (88) at Bolivar Central (80+2)  Liberty by 6

Northpoint Christian (97) at Brighton (116+2)  Brighton by 21

Obion Co. (103) at Camden (87+2)  Obion by 14  

McKenzie (121) at Chester Co. (88+2)  McKenzie by 31

Jackson North Side (115) at Covington (140+2)  Covington by 27

Greenfield (93) at Dresden (87+2)  Greenfield by 4

Dyer Co. (130) at Dyersburg (111+2)  Dyer Co. by 17

Halls (71) at Fayette Academy (103+2)  Fayette by 34

McNairy Central (108) at Fayette Ware (94+2)  McNairy by 12

Cordova (93) at Haywood (128+2)  Haywood by 37

Hollow Rock-Bruceton (87) at Humboldt (68+2)  Bruceton by 17

Jackson South Side (104) at Huntingdon (115+2)  Huntingdon by 13

Riverside (120) at Lexington (121+2)  Lexington by 3

Thrasher, MS (?) at Middleton (50+2)  ?

Manassas (67) at Milan (133+2) Milan by 68

Munford (111) at Millington (106+2)  Munford by 3

Westview (118) at Peabody (142+2)  Peabody by 26

Crockett Co. (110) at Ripley (107+2)  Crockett by 1

Mt. Pleasant (89) at Scotts Hill (85+2)  Mt. Pleasant by 2

Westwood (67) at South Gibson (123+2) South Gibson by 58

Jackson Christian (104) at St. George's (100+2)  JCS by 2

Union City (113) at USJ (124+2)  USJ by 13

Gleason (62) at West Carroll (95+2) West Carroll by 35

Gibson Co. (91) at Stewart Co. (109+2)  Stewart Co. by 20

Henry Co. (130) at Beech (140+2)  Beech by 12

 

 

Honestly, McKenzie needs to get some of those “in hand games” early in the season so the young players can get reps.  We have to build some depth on the line. 

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57 minutes ago, stacmot said:


Too much time on my hands...Part II.

Last week, I looked at Sonny Moore's ratings/predictions for games involving teams from Region 7-4A.  This week, I'm looking at Moore's ratings/predictions for all of the games involving our teams from rural West Tennessee.

I rounded all ratings to the nearest whole number, and as Moore suggests, I did add 2 points for home field advantage.  It should be fun to see how accurate his predictions might, or might not, be.

Some of the point spreads are insane, but I would hope coaches would give their younger players an opportunity to play once their wins are secure.  So, I wouldn't look for any kind of point spread accuracy in those games.

I also looked at Massey's match-up tool last week.  If I have time, and that is a big if, I might look at his predictions for this week's games as well.
 


South Fulton (81) at Ballard County, KY (?)

Hardin Co. (130) at Adamsville (99+2)  Hardin Co. by 29

Liberty Magnet (88) at Bolivar Central (80+2)  Liberty by 6

Northpoint Christian (97) at Brighton (116+2)  Brighton by 21

Obion Co. (103) at Camden (87+2)  Obion by 14  

McKenzie (121) at Chester Co. (88+2)  McKenzie by 31

Jackson North Side (115) at Covington (140+2)  Covington by 27

Greenfield (93) at Dresden (87+2)  Greenfield by 4

Dyer Co. (130) at Dyersburg (111+2)  Dyer Co. by 17

Halls (71) at Fayette Academy (103+2)  Fayette by 34

McNairy Central (108) at Fayette Ware (94+2)  McNairy by 12

Cordova (93) at Haywood (128+2)  Haywood by 37

Hollow Rock-Bruceton (87) at Humboldt (68+2)  Bruceton by 17

Jackson South Side (104) at Huntingdon (115+2)  Huntingdon by 13

Riverside (120) at Lexington (121+2)  Lexington by 3

Thrasher, MS (?) at Middleton (50+2)  ?

Manassas (67) at Milan (133+2) Milan by 68

Munford (111) at Millington (106+2)  Munford by 3

Westview (118) at Peabody (142+2)  Peabody by 26

Crockett Co. (110) at Ripley (107+2)  Crockett by 1

Mt. Pleasant (89) at Scotts Hill (85+2)  Mt. Pleasant by 2

Westwood (67) at South Gibson (123+2) South Gibson by 58

Jackson Christian (104) at St. George's (100+2)  JCS by 2

Union City (113) at USJ (124+2)  USJ by 13

Gleason (62) at West Carroll (95+2) West Carroll by 35

Gibson Co. (91) at Stewart Co. (109+2)  Stewart Co. by 20

Henry Co. (130) at Beech (140+2)  Beech by 12

 

 

Milan by 68. Lol. 

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14 hours ago, stacmot said:

I also looked at Massey's match-up tool last week.  If I have time, and that is a big if, I might look at his predictions for this week's games as well.

Well, it wasn't as tedious as I thought it would be.  Overall, these point spreads aren't that huge, but will they be more accurate?  Massey's Predictions for Week 2:


South Fulton at Ballard County, KY -  South Fulton by 3

Hardin Co. at Adamsville - Hardin Co. by 21

Liberty Magnet at Bolivar Central - Cancelled (Covid)

Northpoint Christian at Brighton - Brighton by 24

Obion Co. at Camden - Cancelled (Covid)

McKenzie at Chester Co. - McKenzie by 7

Jackson North Side at Covington - Covington by 21

Greenfield at Dresden - Dresden by 7

Dyer Co. at Dyersburg - Dyer Co. by 6

Halls at Fayette Academy - FA by 21

McNairy Central at Fayette Ware - McNairy by 3

Cordova at Haywood - Haywood by 5

Hollow Rock-Bruceton at Humboldt - Humboldt by 1

Jackson South Side at Huntingdon - South Side by 6

Riverside at Lexington - Lexington by 11

Thrasher, MS at Middleton - Middleton by 14

Manassas at Milan - Milan by 35

Munford at Millington - Munford by 7

Westview at Peabody - Peabody by 13

Crockett Co. at Ripley - Ripley by 5

Mt. Pleasant at Scotts Hill - Scotts Hill by 7

Westwood at South Gibson - South Gibson by 35

Jackson Christian at St. George's - St. George's by 4

Union City at USJ - USJ by 20

Gleason at West Carroll - West Carroll by 12

Gibson Co. at Stewart Co. - Stewart Co. by 18

Henry Co. at Beech - Beech by 10

Trinity Christian at ECS - ECS by 25

 

Edited by stacmot
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48 minutes ago, stacmot said:

Well, it wasn't as tedious as I thought it would be.  Overall, these point spreads aren't that huge, but will they be more accurate?  Massey's Predictions for Week 2:


South Fulton at Ballard County, KY -  South Fulton by 3

Hardin Co. at Adamsville - Hardin Co. by 21

Liberty Magnet at Bolivar Central - Cancelled (Covid)

Northpoint Christian at Brighton - Brighton by 24

Obion Co. at Camden - Cancelled (Covid)

McKenzie at Chester Co. - McKenzie by 7

Jackson North Side at Covington - Covington by 21

Greenfield at Dresden - Dresden by 7

Dyer Co. at Dyersburg - Dyer Co. by 6

Halls at Fayette Academy - FA by 21

McNairy Central at Fayette Ware - McNairy by 3

Cordova at Haywood - Haywood by 5

Hollow Rock-Bruceton at Humboldt - Humbodlt by 1

Jackson South Side at Huntingdon - South Side by 6

Riverside at Lexington - Lexington by 11

Thrasher, MS at Middleton - Middleton by 14

Manassas at Milan - Milan by 35

Munford at Millington - Munford by 7

Westview at Peabody - Peabody by 13

Crockett Co. at Ripley - Ripley by 5

Mt. Pleasant at Scotts Hill - Scotts Hill by 7

Westwood at South Gibson - South Gibson by 35

Jackson Christian at St. George's - St. George's by 4

Union City at USJ - USJ by 20

Gleason at West Carroll - West Carroll by 12

Gibson Co. at Stewart Co. - Stewart Co. by 18

Henry Co. at Beech - Beech by 10

Trinity Christian at ECS - ECS by 25

 

Pretty cool thanks 

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1 hour ago, PeabodyPride said:

The only one I think will be way off is McKenzie and Chester I see the Redbs by 21 easily ! And we appreciate all the Good Luck wishes no fun opening with Milan then Westview !!! GL to y’all as well !

Thanks!  I agree with you on the McKenzie-Chester Co. score.  I don't know why, but for some reason I also think Dyersburg will beat Dyer Co. 

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29 minutes ago, stacmot said:

Thanks!  I agree with you on the McKenzie-Chester Co. score.  I don't know why, but for some reason I also think Dyersburg will beat Dyer Co. 

can’t count Dyer out sir ! That kid toting the rock for them is special ! I think adrenaline will play a part in this as well in all honesty I think DC by 7 !!

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