TheAmbassador Posted October 10, 2016 Report Share Posted October 10, 2016 (edited) We should be getting closer to getting some clarity. I look for the largest 1A team to be around that 373-375 mark when it's all said and done. I believe Fairley, Richland and Trousdale will be the smallest in 2A and Harriman would be the largest 1A or the smallest 2A. Edited October 10, 2016 by TheAmbassador Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pujo Posted October 10, 2016 Report Share Posted October 10, 2016 We should be getting closer to getting some clarity. I look for the largest 1A team to be around that 373-375 mark when it's all said and done. I believe Fairley, Richland and Trousdale will be the smallest in 2A and Harriman would be the largest 1A or the smallest 2A. Just depends on what a few privates decide to do. I'm sure they have decided but just don't want to let the cat outta the bag. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QSouth89 Posted October 11, 2016 Report Share Posted October 11, 2016 Do they have football?I must admit I'm impressed with the information you've posted but I have question. If Catholic stayed in D1 (I'm not saying they are because I really don't know what they're doing and I have kids in the school) do you think the TSSAA would put them in 6A? Especially since the one class rule is eliminated? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indian Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 No just 1.8 with no limit on jump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KennyPowers55 Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 I must admit I'm impressed with the information you've posted but I have question. If Catholic stayed in D1 (I'm not saying they are because I really don't know what they're doing and I have kids in the school) do you think the TSSAA would put them in 6A? Especially since the one class rule is eliminated? Catholic's enrollment with the multiplier will be 1114, which by my math would land them as a small 5A school. I think the 4A/5A split will be hugging 1100 or so. No way they're 6A though (Unless they elected to play up?) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisATN Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 (edited) If Knoxville Catholic stays D1, they will be 94th in enrollment...near the bottom of 5A. Here are my projections (for whatever it's worth). Note that I don't believe they will make the classes an exact even distribution across the board based on closeness of enrollments for schools near the cutoff lines, so this list takes that into account somewhat. An example is there are 3 schools at top of my 4A list that are at enrollment of 1083, 1082, and 1081. It would be tough to justify pushing one school up to 5A due to a 1 student difference, and it would overload 5A if they moved all three schools up. My projected classification sizes and cutoff schools are as follows: 6A: 50 schools- Southwind (1496) last team in 5A: 48 schools- Morristown East (1472) first in; Portland (1089) last. 4A: 50 schools- Liberty Tech Magnet (1083) first; Giles County (820) last. 3A: 49 schools- Wooddale (808) first; Cumberland Gap (554) last. 2A: 49 schools- Forrest (547) first; Harriman (373) last. 1A: 48 schools- Oakhaven (366) first. This also assumes Elizabethton elects to move up a to 4A, which has been part of the discussion in the District 1 area. If they elect not to, then 3A will end up with 50 schools. I don't have info for other schools that are considering playing up, so if anyone has that info let me know. For the privates that have not declared yet (as of October 11), their Division 1 classification would be as follows, if they elect to stay (actually enrollment & D1 multiplier enrollment included): Knoxville Catholic (619, 1114.2) - 5A (would make this class 49 schools) Lipscomb Academy (518, 932.4)- 4A (would make this class 51 schools) Notre Dame (419, 754.2)- 3A (would make this class 50 schools) Middle Tennessee Christian (235, 423)- 2A (would make this class 50 schools) Edited October 12, 2016 by ChrisATN Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheAmbassador Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 (edited) These 1A cutoff projections in here vary a little bit. In Indian's list of teams it doesn't include Freedom Prep ,Memphis Middle College, and now Franklin Grace as announced by the Tennessean today. I believe the cutoff is going to be around the 360 range. Edited October 12, 2016 by TheAmbassador Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigEdMo Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 These 1A cutoff projections in here vary a little bit. In Indian's list of teams it doesn't include Freedom Prep and Memphis Middle College. I believe the cutoff is going to be around 365-370 range. what do you think the 2a cutoff will be Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheAmbassador Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 (edited) what do you think the 2a cutoff will beCumberland Gap, Waverly, Adamsville, and Gatlinburg Pittman are some teams to watch that could get pushed to 3A. Several of these smaller private schools electing to stay in D1 as well as some of the new charter schools will have a chain reaction and domino effect shifting a few of the top attendance schools from Indian's list into a higher classification. Edited October 12, 2016 by TheAmbassador Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indian Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 My guesses, adding Freedom Prep-which I believe is a charter, not a private; Franklin Grace (multiplied by 1.8) and Memphis Middle College. 296 now. Class 1A-50 KIPP Memphis Collegiate School 2016-09-19 164 Gleason High School 2016-09-12 166 Lookout Valley High School 2016-09-19 172 Greenfield High School 2016-09-12 176 Coalfield High School 2016-09-15 180 Oakdale High School 2016-09-15 183 Sunbright High School 2016-09-15 183 Hollow Rock-Bruceton Central High School 2016-09-07 184 Red Boiling Springs High School 2016-09-15 204 Lake Co. High School 2016-09-12 223 Pickett Co. High School 2016-09-09 226 Copper Basin High School 2016-09-12 228 Cloudland High School 2016-09-12 233 Greenback High School 2016-09-15 234 South Fulton High School 2016-09-22 235 South Pittsburg High School 2016-09-12 240 Huntland High School 2016-09-06 272 Midway High School 2016-09-14 272 Moore Co. High School 2016-09-12 275 Humboldt High School 2016-09-19 282 Collinwood High School 2016-09-12 284 Clay Co. High School 2016-09-07 287 Freedom Preparatory Academy 2016-09-19 291 Sale Creek School 2016-09-19 295 Memphis Middle College High School 2016-09-19 299 Wayne Co. High School 2016-09-06 309 Hillcrest High School 2016-09-23 311 McEwen High School 2016-09-12 311 West Carroll High School 2016-09-09 311 Westwood High School 2016-09-19 312 Hancock Co. High School 2016-09-12 315 Cornersville High School 2016-09-13 321 Whitwell High School 2016-09-12 321 Middleton High School 2016-09-07 323 Grace Christian Academy - Franklin 2016-09-08 180 x 1.8=324 Gordonsville High School 2016-09-09 327 B. T. Washington High School 2016-09-19 328 Huntingdon High School 2016-09-13 330 Jellico High School 2016-09-08 331 Perry Co. High School 2016-09-09 334 Fayetteville High School 2016-09-08 336 Oliver Springs High School 2016-09-14 341 Unaka High School 2016-09-12 341 Jo Byrns High School 2016-09-19 349 Monterey High School 2016-09-08 352 Mt. Pleasant High School 2016-09-15 353 Republic High School 2016-09-12 361 Grades 9-11 Dresden High School 2016-09-12 362 Oakhaven High School 2016-09-19 366 Harriman High School 2016-09-14 373 Class 2A-51 because 2 highest with same count Richland High School 2016-09-06 375 Fairley High School 2016-09-23 384 Trousdale Co. High School 2016-09-07 388 Peabody High School 2016-09-16 389 Cosby High School 2016-09-07 391 North Greene High School 2016-09-15 400 Oneida High School 2016-09-12 410 Wartburg Central High School 2016-09-15 414 East Robertson High School 2016-09-19 416 Houston Co. High School 2016-09-15 418 Hampton High School 2016-09-12 421 Clarksville Academy 2016-09-07 240 x 1.8 = 432 McKenzie High School 2016-09-09 432 Rockwood High School 2016-09-14 435 Eagleville High School 2016-09-09 437 Union City High School 2016-09-12 440 Halls High School 2016-09-09 443 Memphis Academy of Health Sciences 2016-09-19 444 Jackson Co. High School 2016-09-12 449 Trinity Christian Academy 2016-09-08 250 x 1.8 = 450 Summertown High School 2016-09-12 454 Tellico Plains High School 2016-09-12 458 Manassas High School 2016-09-19 476 Gibson Co. High School 2016-09-09 480 Frederick Douglass High School 2016-09-19 484 Columbia Academy 2016-09-08 271 x 1.8 =488 Cascade High School 2016-09-19 492 Sullivan North High School 2016-09-08 492 Loretto High School 2016-09-12 494 Memphis East High School 2016-09-19 494 Hickman Co. High School 2016-09-08 499 Scotts Hill High School 2016-09-09 499 Lewis Co. High School 2016-09-08 500 Mitchell High School 2016-09-19 508 Community High School 2016-09-19 509 South Greene High School 2016-09-15 510 Meigs Co. High School 2016-09-15 517 Marion Co. High School 2016-09-12 517 Decatur Co. Riverside High School 2016-09-07 525 Tyner Academy 2016-09-19 525 Westmoreland High School 2016-09-12 525 East Hickman High School 2016-09-06 526 Bledsoe Co. High School 2016-09-15 533 Watertown High School 2016-09-09 537 Hamilton High School 2016-09-19 541 Happy Valley High School 2016-09-12 541 Forrest High School 2016-09-13 547 Polk Co. High School 2016-09-07 547 Cumberland Gap High School 2016-09-12 554 Adamsville High School 2016-09-09 556 Waverly Central High School 2016-09-12 556 Class 3A-49 Gatlinburg-Pittman High School 2016-09-20 560 Brainerd High School 2016-09-19 574 Harpeth High School 2016-09-20 574 Melrose High School 2016-09-19 574 Cannon Co. High School Woodbury 2016-09-15 583 Alvin C. York Institute 2016-09-14 592 Smith Co. High School 2016-09-09 605 Camden Central High School 2016-09-07 614 Trezevant High School 2016-09-19 615 Chuckey-Doak High School 2016-09-15 618 Sweetwater High School 2016-09-12 618 Westview High School 2016-09-12 619 Raleigh Egypt High School 2016-09-19 620 West Greene High School 2016-09-15 621 Grundy Co. High School 2016-09-21 623 Austin-East High School 2016-09-15 624 Milan High School 2016-09-14 633 Johnson Co. High School 2016-09-08 638 Signal Mountain High School 2016-09-19 638 Martin Luther King, Jr. Preparatory High School 2016-09-28 641 Pearl Cohn High School 2016-09-12 643 Alcoa High School 2016-09-19 646 Whites Creek High School 2016-09-12 659 White House Heritage High School 2016-09-19 673 Stewart Co. High School 2016-09-15 675 Cheatham Co. Central High School 2016-09-20 682 Stratford High School 2016-09-12 668 Sequatchie Co. High School 2016-09-12 693 Kingston High School 2016-09-14 708 Fairview High School 2016-09-15 710 Sheffield High School 2016-09-19 721 Loudon High School 2016-09-15 734 McMinn Central High School 2016-09-12 738 Pigeon Forge High School 2016-09-20 741 Northview Academy 2016-09-20 743 Claiborne High School 2016-09-12 749 East Nashville Magnet School 2016-09-12 750 Upperman High School 2016-09-08 753 Sycamore High School 2016-09-20 760 Crockett Co. High School 2016-09-07 762 South Gibson Co. High School 2016-09-09 779 Bolivar Central High School 2016-09-07 785 Red Bank High School 2016-09-19 785 Elizabethton High School 2016-09-07 796 Unicoi Co. High School 2016-09-13 796 Scott High School 2016-09-13 806 McNairy Central High School 2016-09-09 807 Wooddale High School 2016-09-19 808 Giles Co. High School 2016-09-06 820 Class 4A-49 Covington High School 2016-09-09 821 East Ridge High School 2016-09-19 827 Greenbrier High School 2016-09-19 833 Dyersburg High School 2016-09-08 834 The Howard School 2016-09-19 839 Union Co. High School 2016-09-13 850 DeKalb Co. High School 2016-09-20 856 Ripley High School 2016-09-09 860 Fayette-Ware Comprehensive High School 2016-09-26 861 White House High School 2016-09-12 874 Livingston Academy 2016-09-20 876 Sullivan South High School 2016-09-08 887 Haywood High School 2016-09-08 889 Sullivan Central High School 2016-09-08 897 Obion Co. Central High School 2016-09-22 900 Marshall Co. High School 2016-09-13 902 Craigmont High School 2016-09-19 909 Greeneville High School 2016-09-08 913 Jackson South Side High School 2016-09-16 917 Chester Co. High School 2016-09-13 918 Grainger High School 2016-09-12 918 Maplewood Comprehensive High School 2016-09-12 919 Carter High School 2016-09-15 930 Chattanooga Central High School 2016-09-19 936 Millington Central High School 2016-09-13 940 Hixson High School 2016-09-19 941 Sullivan East High School 2016-09-08 941 Nolensville 2016-09-15 471 x 2 = 942 Jackson North Side High School 2016-09-16 960 Lexington High School 2016-09-09 965 Macon Co. High School 2016-09-15 967 Creek Wood High School 2016-09-07 986 Fulton High School 2016-09-15 987 Cumberland Co. High School 2016-09-13 1000 Gibbs High School Corryton 2016-09-15 1009 Sequoyah High School - Madisonville 2016-09-15 1033 East Hamilton High School 2016-09-19 1038 Tullahoma High School 2016-09-19 1042 Spring Hill High School 2016-09-15 1053 Anderson Co. High School 2016-09-07 1060 Hardin Co. High School 2016-09-02 1060 Stone Memorial High School 2016-09-13 1061 Kirby High School 2016-09-19 1067 Montgomery Central High School 2016-09-15 1077 Springfield High School 2016-09-19 1081 Lawrence Co. High School 2016-09-12 1082 Liberty Technology Magnet High School 2016-09-16 1083 Portland High School 2016-09-12 1089 Seymour High School 2016-09-20 1102 Class 5A-49 Hillwood High School 2016-09-12 1103 Clinton High School 2016-09-07 1105 Knoxville Central High School 2016-09-15 1106 Sevier Co. High School 2016-09-20 1119 Page High School 2016-09-15 1123 Beech Senior High School 2016-09-12 1139 Volunteer High School 2016-09-12 1152 South Doyle High School 2016-09-15 1155 Cherokee High School 2016-09-12 1161 Kenwood High School 2016-09-15 1163 Cocke Co. High School 2016-09-07 1177 Overton High School 2016-09-19 1184 Tennessee High School 2016-09-14 1190 Lenoir City High School 2016-09-14 1192 Ridgeway High School 2016-09-19 1200 Lincoln Co. High School 2016-09-13 1207 Grades 10-12 plus Ninth Grade Academy Dyer Co. High School 2016-09-09 1216 Soddy-Daisy High School 2016-09-19 1217 Karns High School 2016-09-15 1233 Hillsboro High School 2016-09-12 1238 Knoxville Halls High School 2016-09-15 1245 David Crockett High School 2016-09-15 1247 Munford High School 2016-09-12 1247 White Co. High School 2016-09-15 1250 Kingsbury High School 2016-09-19 1252 Glencliff High School 2016-09-12 1275 Northwest High School 2016-09-15 1291 Daniel Boone High School 2016-09-15 1314 Bolton High School 2016-09-19 1326 Columbia Central High School 2016-09-15 1333 Powell High School 2016-09-15 1346 West High School 2016-09-15 1355 Brighton High School 2016-09-09 1364 Clarksville High School 2016-09-15 1364 Henry Co. High School 2016-09-13 1368 Grades 10-12, plus EW Grove Jr High Shelbyville Central High School 2016-09-19 1370 Campbell Co. High School 2016-09-08 1385 Northeast High School 2016-09-15 1385 Oak Ridge High School 2016-09-09 1387 West Creek High School 2016-09-15 1404 Summit High School 2016-09-15 1406 Walker Valley High School 2016-09-19 1411 Hunters Lane High School 2016-09-12 1422 Rhea County High School 2016-09-09 1442 Franklin Co. High School 2016-09-06 1447 Morristown-Hamblen High School East 2016-09-16 1472 Southwind High School 2016-09-19 1496 Gallatin High School 2016-09-12 1508 Dickson Co. High School 2016-09-07 1519 Class 6A-48 Hendersonville High School 2016-09-12 1531 Ooltewah High School 2016-09-19 1537 Cleveland High School 2016-09-13 1546 Memphis Central High School 2016-09-19 1552 McMinn Co. High School 2016-09-12 1556 Heritage High School 2016-09-12 1559 Morristown-Hamblen High School West 2016-09-16 1566 Rossview High School 2016-09-15 1611 Cane Ridge High School 2016-09-12 1646 Centennial High School 2016-09-15 1667 Independence High School 2016-09-15 1677 Maryville High School 2016-09-12 1684 Grades 10-12 plus Maryville Jr High Bradley Central High School 2016-09-19 1705 Coffee Co. Central High School 2016-09-09 1733 Farragut High School 2016-09-15 1734 Whitehaven High School 2016-09-19 1738 Franklin High School 2016-09-15 1745 Brentwood High School 2016-09-15 1754 Station Camp High School 2016-09-12 1756 Ravenwood High School 2016-09-15 1772 Siegel High School 2016-09-09 1782 LaVergne High School 2016-09-16 1813 William Blount High School 2016-09-12 1818 Smyrna High School 2016-09-09 1857 Houston High School 2016-09-09 1865 Wilson Central High School 2016-09-09 1876 Lebanon High School 2016-09-09 1905 John Overton High School Nashville 2016-09-12 1907 Antioch High School 2016-09-12 1993 Riverdale High School 2016-09-09 2020 Germantown High School 2016-09-19 2027 Hardin Valley Academy 2016-09-15 2035 Arlington High School 2016-09-15 2042 Warren Co. High School 2016-09-13 2053 Bearden High School 2016-09-15 2063 Stewarts Creek High School 2016-09-09 2109 Mt. Juliet High School 2016-09-09 2145 White Station High School 2016-09-19 2155 Oakland High School 2016-09-09 2173 Blackman High School 2016-09-09 2175 Jefferson Co. High School 2016-09-08 2185 Cookeville High School 2016-09-08 2203 Dobyns Bennett High School 2016-09-13 2208 Science Hill High School 2016-09-07 2248 McGavock High School 2016-09-12 2266 Cordova High School 2016-09-19 2267 Collierville High School 2016-09-14 2372 Bartlett High School 2016-09-15 2513 Grades 10-12 plus Ninth Grade Academy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheAmbassador Posted October 12, 2016 Report Share Posted October 12, 2016 (edited) 1A 49 teams KIPP Magnet-Oakhaven 2A 50 teams Harriman - Cumberland Gap 3A 50 teams Waverly and Adamsville - Wooddale 4A 49 teams Giles County -Portland 5A 49 teams Seymour -Gallatin 6A 49 teams Dickson County - Bartlett I think if you look at numbers it could very easily end up this way as well. What do others think? Edited October 12, 2016 by TheAmbassador Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cardfan Posted October 13, 2016 Report Share Posted October 13, 2016 I like indians post better. Lol. I actually have thought all aling that we would either be the last 2a school or the first 3a school.which i believe we can compete in both. Championship would never come this way in 3a due to Alcoa and the likes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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