2017 Enrollment Numbers and Classifications

[TheAmbassador]

I don't think my projections included these schools?

[LazIndexTN]

I don't think my projections included these schools?

Ambassador, I think where we are off is Freedom Prep, that would make it 296.

Edited October 15, 2016 by LazIndexTN

[TheAmbassador]

Ambassador, I think where we are off is Freedom Prep, that would make it 296.

So are they fielding their own team or are they sharing players with another school again?

[LazIndexTN]

So are they fielding their own team or are they sharing players with another school again?

Looks like they feed Mitchell High in football. http://portal.tssaa.org/common/directory/coop.cfm

 

I'm working on a realignment strategy based on the new divisions and enrollment numbers.

[ChrisATN]

Since it's the night before they release the classifications, here's my updated projections.  As I had mentioned in my earlier post, my projections take into account the enrollment groupings at the cutoff points.  I've also looked at geographies for each class and how districts would work out, so that is taken into account as well.  We'll see how close these are tomorrow, then I'll post my guess at districts (FWIW, I think the district alignments are where it really gets interesting).

 

Couple notes:  first, I had an error in my data spreadsheet that I used for my previous post which inadvertently left off one of the 6A schools.  Because of this, the count in my previous post was shifted a little.  Second...after looking at the numbers and the possible districts, I think it is HIGHLY unlikely that the TSSAA holds to an exactly equal division of teams for each class.  Doing this would put some teams in some bad travel situations, so I think this is going to have a big impact on the cutoff locations.  

 

6A: 51 schools- Southwind (1496) last team in

5A: 49 schools- Morristown East (1472) first in; Portland (1089) last.

4A: 50 schools- Liberty Tech Magnet (1083) first; Elizabethton (819) last.

3A: 49 schools- Wooddale (808) first; Cumberland Gap (554) last.

2A: 49 schools- Forrest (547) first; Richland (375) last.

1A: 48 schools- Harriman (373) first.

[TheAmbassador]

Thanks Chris, but I'm missing something. You're showing 48 teams in 1A with Harriman being the largest. If Harriman is the largest 1A then I'm counting more than 48 teams.

[ChrisATN]

Look over my list and see if I am missing someone.

 

Class 1A

248 Harriman 373

249 Oakhaven 366

250 Dresden 362

251 Mt. Pleasant 353

252 Monterey 352

253 Jo Byrns 349

254 Oliver Springs 341

255 Unaka 341

256 Fayetteville 336

257 Perry Co. 334

258 Jellico 331

259 Huntingdon 330

260 B. T. Washington 328

261 Gordonsville 327

262 Grace Christian Academy - Franklin 324

263 Middleton 323

264 Cornersville 321

265 Whitwell 321

266 Hancock Co. 315

267 Westwood 312

268 Hillcrest 311

269 McEwen 311

270 West Carroll 311

271 Wayne Co. 309

272 Memphis Middle College 299

273 Sale Creek School 295

274 Clay Co. 287

275 Collinwood 284

276 Humboldt 282

277 Moore Co. 275

278 Huntland 272

279 Midway 272

280 South Pittsburg 240

281 South Fulton 235

282 Greenback 234

283 Cloudland 233

284 Copper Basin 228

285 Pickett Co. 226

286 Lake Co. 223

287 Red Boiling Springs 204

288 Hollow Rock-Bruceton Central 184

289 Oakdale 183

290 Sunbright 183

291 Coalfield 180

292 Greenfield 176

293 Lookout Valley 172

294 Gleason 166

295 KIPP Memphis Collegiate School 164

Edited October 17, 2016 by ChrisATN

[KennyPowers55]

Look over my list and see if I am missing someone.

 

Class 1A

248 Harriman 373

249 Oakhaven 366

250 Dresden 362

251 Mt. Pleasant 353

252 Monterey 352

253 Jo Byrns 349

254 Oliver Springs 341

255 Unaka 341

256 Fayetteville 336

257 Perry Co. 334

258 Jellico 331

259 Huntingdon 330

260 B. T. Washington 328

261 Gordonsville 327

262 Grace Christian Academy - Franklin 324

263 Middleton 323

264 Cornersville 321

265 Whitwell 321

266 Hancock Co. 315

267 Westwood 312

268 Hillcrest 311

269 McEwen 311

270 West Carroll 311

271 Wayne Co. 309

272 Memphis Middle College 299

273 Sale Creek School 295

274 Clay Co. 287

275 Collinwood 284

276 Humboldt 282

277 Moore Co. 275

278 Huntland 272

279 Midway 272

280 South Pittsburg 240

281 South Fulton 235

282 Greenback 234

283 Cloudland 233

284 Copper Basin 228

285 Pickett Co. 226

286 Lake Co. 223

287 Red Boiling Springs 204

288 Hollow Rock-Bruceton Central 184

289 Oakdale 183

290 Sunbright 183

291 Coalfield 180

292 Greenfield 176

293 Lookout Valley 172

294 Gleason 166

295 KIPP Memphis Collegiate School 164

That's the same list I have...

[TheAmbassador]

We should know in a few hours.

[KennyPowers55]

Bass - once schools that are going up a classification move, will that just leave the classification below them smaller? Or will they realign again to try and make all classifications even?

[ChrisATN]

I was missing Republic High School.  They aren't eligible for playoffs until next year.  They will be in 1A.  

[Rhea Co.]

Bass - once schools that are going up a classification move, will that just leave the classification below them smaller? Or will they realign again to try and make all classifications even?

Usually if one school goes up another comes down. Especially if they are really trying to do the whole evenly split class thing. Edited October 17, 2016 by Rhea Co.