Reclassification 2020

[MidTennFootball]

10 minutes ago, BoomKing2006 said:

School	2016	MidCycle	Current
Beech	1139	1385	1450
Gallatin	1508	1621
Station Camp	1756	1470	1320
Hendersonville	1531	1510

So if you're not familiar with the history of why the numbers for Station Camp have dropped this much in 2016 the rezoned a middle school that fed both SC and Beech to exclusively feed to Beech. At mid-cycle both schools turned in those numbers. Beech moved up in soccer because of the 20% change but not football since the number was so low. SC only changed by 16% (stayed in 6A). After midcycle number reported and before this school year began the county rezoned more students away from SC to Beech again. Next year beech will receive a huge class freshman class because of this (not to mention more students from general area growth). SC will likely grow as well due to development as will Gallatin. Lots of apartments going up in Gallatin and SC zones. Hendersonville zone already built out with houses and aging demographic which is why their number has flatlined. 

So, even though in 2020 a new sumner county high school (liberty hill) will open what is going to happen when they turn in their numbers next year is Beech and gallatin will turn in a 6A number, SC will turn in a 5A number... and Hendersonville will be hanging around the cut line. 

Liberty Creek

According to this, the school isn't opening till 2021, which works out better since that would be the beginning of the 4 year and 2 year cycles

[CHSAlum04]

2 hours ago, OleMary said:

FYP. 

FYP? I don't follow.

[CHSAlum04]

2 hours ago, HTV said:

It was more about travel than it was about Catholic for Fulton.  AC was going to be the only nearby 4A school, meaning they would end up either traveling to UET or Chattanooga for region games, like AC has been doing.  

Yeah, not sure about that one. The "travel" excuse is used too often. Lots of teams have to travel substantial distances for region games.

[eers]

34 minutes ago, BoomKing2006 said:

School	2016	MidCycle	Current
Beech	1139	1385	1450
Gallatin	1508	1621
Station Camp	1756	1470	1320
Hendersonville	1531	1510

So if you're not familiar with the history of why the numbers for Station Camp have dropped this much in 2016 the rezoned a middle school that fed both SC and Beech to exclusively feed to Beech. At mid-cycle both schools turned in those numbers. Beech moved up in soccer because of the 20% change but not football since the number was so low. SC only changed by 16% (stayed in 6A). After midcycle number reported and before this school year began the county rezoned more students away from SC to Beech again. Next year beech will receive a huge class freshman class because of this (not to mention more students from general area growth). SC will likely grow as well due to development as will Gallatin. Lots of apartments going up in Gallatin and SC zones. Hendersonville zone already built out with houses and aging demographic which is why their number has flatlined. 

So, even though in 2020 a new sumner county high school (liberty hill) will open what is going to happen when they turn in their numbers next year is Beech and gallatin will turn in a 6A number, SC will turn in a 5A number... and Hendersonville will be hanging around the cut line. 

The new school isn’t going to open next year. If it did, Beech would certainly stay down. As it is, Beech should be right around that cutoff number. 

[HTV]

19 minutes ago, CHSAlum04 said:

Yeah, not sure about that one. The "travel" excuse is used too often. Lots of teams have to travel substantial distances for region games.

Well, considering that Catholic was in 5A with the multiplier the travel reason makes more sense than that they were trying to escape Catholic.  

[CHSAlum04]

5 minutes ago, HTV said:

Well, considering that Catholic was in 5A with the multiplier the travel reason makes more sense than that they were trying to escape Catholic.  

Probably didn't realize that the "multiplier" was going to take place before deciding to make the jump to 5A. But they did and they've suffered.

[dkota44]

2 hours ago, haweanbula said:

That means you would have AC, Fulton, Gibbs in a region together. If Seymour, and carter drop down you could bring in Union County and have a knoxville area region.

I have no clue what's coming in, but Clinton was right on the bubble. I think just over 1100. They could possibly end up in 4A as well. 

[HTV]

2 minutes ago, CHSAlum04 said:

Probably didn't realize that the "multiplier" was going to take place before deciding to make the jump to 5A. But they did and they've suffered.

Agree to disagree.  The guys at Fulton know how to take a number and multiply it by 1.5.  

[CHSAlum04]

1 minute ago, HTV said:

Agree to disagree.  The guys at Fulton know how to take a number and multiply it by 1.5.  

Everyone knows HTV must always have the last say.

[ocac]

2 hours ago, BooWhoWiseMan said:

Nolensville has over 1200 students now so they will definitely move to 5A.  Not sure how they stayed in 4A to begin with.  Spring Hill will more than likely move up to 5A with over 1200 kids.  Summit will move to 6A with close to 1600 kids.  Gallatin has close to 1600 kids so they may move to 5A.  Page surprisingly may drop to 4A with 1100 kids.  Fairview may be moving to 4A as well.  Just a few around this area.

Gallatin is already in 5A.  They will move to 6A.  They already have 6A numbers.  Station Camp has 5A numbers right now.  Which direction will they go?  

[BlueDevil58]

3 hours ago, OleMary said:

Depends on the head count coming up. They could pull a “Lynn Brown” and take a bunch of kids on a field trip that day like he would do at Murvil. 

What is low cut off for 4A these days? 
Alcoa will be close to 700 sooner than later. 

The cutoff changes every classification cycle.  They want to divide the schools equally into 6 classes, so there's no way to give a static number.  Right now the low end for 4A starts somewhere around 700ish.

[GoPats2019]

1 hour ago, CHSAlum04 said:

Yeah, not sure about that one. The "travel" excuse is used too often. Lots of teams have to travel substantial distances for region games.

Some teams that get screwed with travel...

Anderson County

Dyer County

Jellico

Henry County

 

And DII is just ridiculous travel.