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the z-plan


Vikrim
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i wrote this down a little while ago, but i had decided not to post it because i didn't wanna cause any drama. but i saw someone blaming dna for a team reason which is just incorrect on so many levels. dna has nothing to do with it. local population does. 

 

while i dont think we need to unify state champs or have a bowl system, i do think doing classifications based on enrollment is stupid. a 2A or 3A in a large and well developed metro has better access to talent than a 4A-6A in the middle of nowhere let alone a 2A or 3A in the middle of nowhere. should have some kind of promotion relegation system. u already realign  pointlessly every two years. might as well give it a point. promote the region champ, demote the region bottom dweller for both years. promote the state champ and runner up regardless of whether they won their region. heck even to incentivize the t$$aa you could let them add an extra division or two. 

 

 

by metro: 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nashville-Davidson-Murfreesboro,_TN_CSA: 2,382,408 people

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Knoxville-Morristown-Sevierville,_TN_CSA

1,189,808

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memphis,_TN-MS-AR_MSA

1,385,491

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chattanooga-Cleveland-Athens,_TN-GA_CSA

967,447

 

vs

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Johnson_City-Kingsport-Bristol,_TN-VA_CSA

592,913

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martin-Union_City,_TN_CSA

63,457

 

by county: 

shelby: 916,371

davidson: 708,144

 

vs

knox 494,574

hamilton 374,682

rutherford 360,619

 

vs

williamson 260,815

montgomery 235,201

sumner 203,858

sullivan 160,820

wilson

blount

washington

bradley

maury

madison

sevier 98,789

 

the most populated 5 counties are massive compared to the rest. 

 

17

Putnam County

82,382

18

Anderson County

78,913

19

Robertson County

75,470

20

Greene County

71,405

21

Hamblen County

65,168

22

Cumberland County

63,522

23

Tipton County

61,656

24

Coffee County

59,728

25

Loudon County

58,181

26

Hawkins County

58,043

27

Jefferson County

56,727

28

Carter County

56,410

29

Dickson County

55,761

30

Roane County

55,082

31

McMinn County

54,719

32

Bedford County

51,950

33

Gibson County

50,837

34

Monroe County

47,740

35

Lawrence County

45,415

36

Franklin County

43,942

37

Fayette County

43,630

38

Warren County

42,026

39

Cheatham County

41,830

40

Campbell County

39,584

41

Cocke County

36,879

42

Dyer County

36,410

43

Lincoln County

36,004

44

Marshall County

35,878

45

Rhea County

33,730

46

Weakley County

33,063

47

Claiborne County

32,431

48

Henry County

32,379

49

Giles County

30,554

 

 

 

50

Obion County

30,394

51

Marion County

29,094

52

Carroll County

28,458

53

White County

28,064

54

Henderson County

27,929

55

Hardin County

27,077

56

Macon County

26,229

57

McNairy County

25,988

58

Hardeman County

25,529

59

Hickman County

25,455

60

Lauderdale County

24,793

61

Grainger County

24,277

62

Overton County

23,044

63

Scott County

22,035

64

Morgan County

21,224

65

DeKalb County

21,003

66

Smith County

20,489

67

Union County

20,452

68

Fentress County

19,332

69

Humphreys County

19,106

70

Johnson County

18,086

71

Polk County

17,863

72

Unicoi County

17,674

73

Chester County

17,609

74

Haywood County

17,550

75

Sequatchie County

16,909

76

Wayne County

16,308

77

Benton County

16,002

78

Bledsoe County

14,798

79

Cannon County

14,788

80

Stewart County

14,035

81

Crockett County

13,888

82

Grundy County

13,783

83

Meigs County

13,272

84

Lewis County

12,957

85

Trousdale County

12,111

86

Jackson County

11,989

87

Decatur County

11,564

88

Perry County

8,685

89

Houston County

8,219

90

Clay County

7,620

91

Hancock County

6,845

92

Moore County

6,742

93

Lake County

6,507

94

Van Buren County

6,429

95

Pickett County

5,107

United States Census Bureau. B01001 SEX BY AGE, 2021 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates. U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey Office. Web. 8 December 2022. http://www.census.gov/.

United States Census Bureau. Annual Estimates of the Resident Population: April 1, 2020 to July 1, 2022. U.S. Census Bureau, Population Division. Web. May 2023. http://www.census.gov/

 

 

 

Table 1. Real Gross Domestic Product, by County, 2018–2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Real gross domestic product

 

 

 

 

Percent change from preceding period

 

 

 

 

Thousands of chained (2012) dollars

 

 

 

Rank in state

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tennessee

323,541,560

331,176,573

323,453,970

352,461,151

--

2.4

-2.3

9.0

--

 

Anderson

4,440,486

4,540,229

4,479,289

5,046,830

14

2.2

-1.3

12.7

5

 

Bedford

1,677,343

1,737,872

1,651,993

1,847,230

27

3.6

-4.9

11.8

7

 

Benton

317,856

319,157

323,581

341,341

74

0.4

1.4

5.5

63

 

Bledsoe

191,835

188,033

189,819

197,398

87

-2.0

0.9

4.0

79

 

Blount

5,162,754

5,375,124

5,239,908

5,829,434

10

4.1

-2.5

11.3

8

 

Bradley

3,983,446

4,029,943

4,017,935

4,180,320

15

1.2

-0.3

4.0

77

 

Campbell

843,909

860,198

857,117

941,404

48

1.9

-0.4

9.8

21

 

Cannon

226,204

230,712

240,201

256,821

83

2.0

4.1

6.9

48

 

Carroll

625,774

603,209

554,205

562,528

60

-3.6

-8.1

1.5

88

 

Carter

941,221

936,715

927,235

973,661

47

-0.5

-1.0

5.0

68

 

Cheatham

1,061,899

1,055,200

1,055,062

1,166,174

40

-0.6

0.0

10.5

14

 

Chester

336,350

328,595

309,703

334,670

75

-2.3

-5.7

8.1

34

 

Claiborne

715,799

725,414

725,936

779,394

50

1.3

0.1

7.4

42

 

Clay

164,262

159,889

157,649

174,024

89

-2.7

-1.4

10.4

16

 

Cocke

692,919

699,149

701,211

758,368

51

0.9

0.3

8.2

32

 

Coffee

2,571,513

2,697,887

2,663,368

2,829,077

20

4.9

-1.3

6.2

55

 

Crockett

530,494

520,719

524,951

543,512

64

-1.8

0.8

3.5

83

 

Cumberland

1,529,314

1,565,133

1,538,997

1,654,950

29

2.3

-1.7

7.5

40

 

Davidson

63,228,320

65,988,731

63,008,917

71,718,395

1

4.4

-4.5

13.8

3

 

Decatur

310,524

287,628

275,505

278,698

82

-7.4

-4.2

1.2

89

 

DeKalb

591,556

584,634

575,718

659,404

57

-1.2

-1.5

14.5

2

 

Dickson

1,747,478

1,803,341

1,736,052

1,877,489

26

3.2

-3.7

8.1

33

 

Dyer

1,529,667

1,531,893

1,512,149

1,708,317

28

0.1

-1.3

13.0

4

 

Fayette

1,046,696

1,023,773

1,076,416

1,144,555

42

-2.2

5.1

6.3

53

 

Fentress

414,774

433,948

437,457

459,262

70

4.6

0.8

5.0

69

 

Franklin

1,072,822

1,072,038

1,035,759

1,137,051

43

-0.1

-3.4

9.8

22

 

Gibson

1,294,384

1,308,108

1,287,767

1,380,934

34

1.1

-1.6

7.2

43

 

Giles

1,033,978

1,022,520

1,004,818

1,080,823

44

-1.1

-1.7

7.6

39

 

Grainger

357,804

370,067

384,527

424,982

72

3.4

3.9

10.5

15

 

Greene

2,223,429

2,203,167

2,112,186

2,264,338

23

-0.9

-4.1

7.2

45

 

Grundy

216,711

213,456

207,620

217,616

85

-1.5

-2.7

4.8

71

 

Hamblen

2,740,037

2,797,350

2,753,845

3,012,556

19

2.1

-1.6

9.4

23

 

Hamilton

22,604,104

23,142,846

22,454,714

24,039,324

4

2.4

-3.0

7.1

46

 

Hancock

74,650

75,879

76,717

84,590

95

1.6

1.1

10.3

19

 

Hardeman

555,746

533,363

522,112

518,707

66

-4.0

-2.1

-0.7

92

 

Hardin

887,671

847,267

840,282

873,849

49

-4.6

-0.8

4.0

78

 

Hawkins

1,571,298

1,483,561

1,378,148

1,439,617

31

-5.6

-7.1

4.5

74

 

Haywood

703,674

628,764

561,087

552,105

62

-10.6

-10.8

-1.6

95

 

Henderson

667,053

655,462

617,510

682,895

56

-1.7

-5.8

10.6

12

 

Henry

1,097,001

1,128,103

1,099,786

1,150,267

41

2.8

-2.5

4.6

73

 

Hickman

415,796

420,049

422,320

449,498

71

1.0

0.5

6.4

51

 

Houston

129,563

134,571

131,656

133,044

92

3.9

-2.2

1.1

90

 

Humphreys

684,256

658,424

646,809

652,356

58

-3.8

-1.8

0.9

91

 

Jackson

195,246

194,875

195,258

204,449

86

-0.2

0.2

4.7

72

 

Jefferson

1,424,380

1,498,471

1,526,394

1,609,494

30

5.2

1.9

5.4

64

 

Johnson

351,422

369,286

371,418

383,453

73

5.1

0.6

3.2

85

 

Knox

24,472,568

24,802,158

24,791,049

26,715,767

3

1.3

0.0

7.8

37

 

Lake

106,479

126,196

116,937

129,616

93

18.5

-7.3

10.8

11

 

Lauderdale

618,151

631,642

616,946

647,920

59

2.2

-2.3

5.0

67

 

Lawrence

927,881

944,017

922,932

1,009,309

46

1.7

-2.2

9.4

24

 

Lewis

240,062

258,799

263,077

284,072

80

7.8

1.7

8.0

35

 

Lincoln

978,577

1,001,719

957,137

1,030,023

45

2.4

-4.5

7.6

38

 

Loudon

1,722,394

1,885,525

1,925,407

2,003,727

25

9.5

2.1

4.1

76

 

McMinn

1,906,514

1,925,377

1,906,863

2,015,158

24

1.0

-1.0

5.7

62

 

McNairy

529,008

508,136

498,407

518,086

67

-3.9

-1.9

3.9

80

 

Macon

503,622

486,329

480,665

499,446

69

-3.4

-1.2

3.9

81

 

Madison

5,442,509

5,461,443

5,344,457

5,785,232

11

0.3

-2.1

8.2

31

 

Marion

738,250

721,801

718,670

731,395

52

-2.2

-0.4

1.8

87

 

Marshall

1,143,969

1,168,181

1,133,637

1,246,491

36

2.1

-3.0

10.0

20

 

Maury

3,646,567

3,839,624

3,821,158

4,159,877

17

5.3

-0.5

8.9

27

 

Meigs

233,292

225,093

231,490

245,341

84

-3.5

2.8

6.0

58

 

Monroe

1,318,262

1,302,848

1,255,109

1,407,174

33

-1.2

-3.7

12.1

6

 

Montgomery

4,838,626

5,108,592

5,176,190

5,474,967

13

5.6

1.3

5.8

61

 

Moore

469,249

484,768

504,998

557,176

61

3.3

4.2

10.3

17

 

Morgan

260,012

274,490

281,332

305,362

77

5.6

2.5

8.5

28

 

Obion

1,004,086

1,086,664

1,084,564

1,196,155

37

8.2

-0.2

10.3

18

 

Overton

502,638

521,275

488,325

514,096

68

3.7

-6.3

5.3

65

 

Perry

171,409

174,774

156,836

155,460

90

2.0

-10.3

-0.9

93

 

Pickett

148,507

134,169

127,732

136,179

91

-9.7

-4.8

6.6

50

 

Polk

293,736

273,234

264,023

283,066

81

-7.0

-3.4

7.2

44

 

Putnam

3,089,754

3,147,947

3,165,853

3,400,047

18

1.9

0.6

7.4

41

 

Rhea

1,819,267

1,668,772

1,384,862

1,435,059

32

-8.3

-17.0

3.6

82

 

Roane

2,259,249

2,389,172

2,335,025

2,455,931

21

5.8

-2.3

5.2

66

 

Robertson

2,298,195

2,246,203

2,221,471

2,410,537

22

-2.3

-1.1

8.5

29

 

Rutherford

14,857,967

15,501,302

15,326,270

17,034,477

6

4.3

-1.1

11.1

9

 

Scott

523,793

517,236

503,871

550,121

63

-1.3

-2.6

9.2

25

 

Sequatchie

266,023

257,775

269,881

285,844

79

-3.1

4.7

5.9

59

 

Sevier

3,831,592

3,992,215

3,625,537

4,171,457

16

4.2

-9.2

15.1

1

 

Shelby

56,517,120

57,139,440

55,200,428

58,568,444

2

1.1

-3.4

6.1

57

 

Smith

693,681

677,383

674,103

692,392

53

-2.3

-0.5

2.7

86

 

Stewart

807,474

716,693

651,013

683,453

55

-11.2

-9.2

5.0

70

 

Sullivan

6,921,893

6,912,407

6,766,627

7,188,703

7

-0.1

-2.1

6.2

54

 

Sumner

6,263,861

6,325,439

6,157,577

6,669,071

8

1.0

-2.7

8.3

30

 

Tipton

1,046,990

1,072,087

1,094,624

1,179,701

38

2.4

2.1

7.8

36

 

Trousdale

172,068

179,007

169,839

175,791

88

4.0

-5.1

3.5

84

 

Unicoi

500,118

484,810

485,492

518,809

65

-3.1

0.1

6.9

49

 

Union

276,642

287,501

284,270

301,799

78

3.9

-1.1

6.2

56

 

Van Buren

87,147

88,326

91,112

94,900

94

1.4

3.2

4.2

75

 

Warren

1,301,480

1,291,908

1,234,972

1,313,986

35

-0.7

-4.4

6.4

52

 

Washington

5,231,553

5,444,143

5,517,403

6,021,999

9

4.1

1.3

9.1

26

 

Wayne

295,788

299,496

309,702

305,805

76

1.3

3.4

-1.3

94

 

Weakley

1,056,869

1,149,716

1,109,104

1,173,302

39

8.8

-3.5

5.8

60

 

White

649,974

659,633

644,085

689,510

54

1.5

-2.4

7.1

47

 

Williamson

20,534,695

21,456,833

21,697,766

23,986,184

5

4.5

1.1

10.5

13

 

Wilson

4,812,670

4,923,862

5,058,829

5,614,548

12

2.3

2.7

11.0

 

 

 

Well after taking a look at this youd think Sullivan and Washington counties would have some better football teams. then again knox does have like 4 times the gdp and population of them combined though so. too lazy to make any more analysis, especially for the western side of the state which I never really go to but feel free to make your own. 

rank in state by gdp: 

  1. Davidson
  2. Shelby
  3. Knox
  4. Hamilton 
  5. Williamson
  6. Rutherford
  7. Sullivan
  8. Sumner
  9. Washington

 

 

all info is from us census bureau and BEA if u wanna go look yourself. also a note for Alcoa fans: I know you're sitting there in the retirement home or your kid's house seething with a bunch of dorito and skid marks in ya diapers. Get over yourselves and please dont leave any stupid comments for the sake of everyone else's brain cells. as for everyone else cant see u having a reason to be mad although im interested to hear your thoughts. 

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I do think that regions should be reclassified every two years based off of success and strength of schedule. This would make playoffs more competitive and the regular season mean more. 

So a team like Alcoa would play up with teams that have great success, Where as a team like Karns would play teams with less success. You most likely would have to drive more but kids would play against teams that are more in their wheelhouse.

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On 11/5/2023 at 12:13 AM, FBfan26 said:

That’s a lot to read but going from 6 to 5 classes would change a Bunch. Also that plan of letting the bottom feeder drop down is crazy. Soon as they win in the lower classification. All heck is going to break loose.

IF the "bottom feeder" wins when dropping down, then they go back up. Say a "6A" team drops to 3A based of of success or lack thereof, if they start to win then they get bumped up to maybe 4A or 5A on the next two year cycle. Other states with wayyy bigger population gaps do this and it works great.

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46 minutes ago, SheriffofRedRock said:

IF the "bottom feeder" wins when dropping down, then they go back up. Say a "6A" team drops to 3A based of of success or lack thereof, if they start to win then they get bumped up to maybe 4A or 5A on the next two year cycle. Other states with wayyy bigger population gaps do this and it works great.

What states do this?

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    • OK, well, that’s because two quarterbacks can’t start. That’s football 101. The main quarterback won the starting job, so he was on varsity, and the Seymour transfer did not win the starting job. He played some varsity. He was mainly junior varsity, and he balled out when healthy, so for the starting quarterback who’s been starting varsity since his freshman year, if you have any form of proof that he’s gotten worse, somehow, whether that means stats or whatnot, please feel free to share.
    • They’ve both gotten worse. I’ve seen enough games to know that. 
    • The only two transfers that Bearden has gotten that went on to play college football were a defensive back from Karnes, who transferred here way before the new coaching staff got here, and a running back from Carter, who went on to play at Maryville College. Both players received those offers while at Bearden, and both players got a diploma from Bearden High School. Therefore, they are Bearden kids, and you can’t do anything about that.   The transfer from Seymour didn’t win the job, what do you expect two quarterbacks to start at the same time? He played great on JV when he could stay healthy, and when he came in on varsity, he did great. The quarterback position is definitely going to be in good hands when the current starting quarterback leaves, but until then, they’re just going to be battling it out like every good quarterback competition does. The current starting quarterback has his flaws, and that is in the pass game, but what he doesn’t have flaws is running and scrambling, and if you go back and watch any game, which I’m sure you didn’t watch any, we used him very often, and when we needed a deep ball, we brought in the transfer from Seymour. The starting quarterback last year will be a senior this year, and the Seymour transfer will be a junior, so the Seymour transfer is definitely going to get his spotlight. He may even win the job this year. Football isn’t about who the newspaper thinks is the best kid. The best kid in the position will win the starting job, and I trust the coaching staff more than a newspaper or article to pick my starting QB.
    • I mean, we’ve only gotten two transfers that went on to play college football, one who went to UT Martin came his second semester junior year before the new coaching staff was here, and the other one went on to play at Maryville College, in which I don’t believe he had any interest prior to transferring.
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