Tom Kreager Classification Projections

[Southtowner]

3 hours ago, FridayMainEvent said:

It looks like his cut line is at 49 teams for 6A.   I think that may be low.   If you go to the top 50 enrollment and basically slice it up 50 to a class, things work out differently.    I just took the top 50 teams and Northeast and Southwind as my cut line at 1494 looks different for 6A.  Obviously that will change all classes.    I've only looked at this briefly, but here are the top 50 in enrollment:

1.    Antioch High School 9/16/2020 1,913 2.    Arlington High School 9/21/2020 2,157 3.    Bartlett High School 9/21/2020 2,768 4.    Bearden High School 9/21/2020     1,823 5.    Beech Senior High School 9/15/2020 1,638 6.    Blackman High School 9/18/2020 1,919 7.    Bradley Central High 9/18/2020 1,579       8.    Brentwood High School 9/16/2020 1,687 9.    Cane Ridge High School 9/16/2020 1,717 10. Centennial High School 9/16/2020 1,571 11. Clarksville High School 9/29/2020 1,518 12. Cleveland High School 9/15/2020 1,671 13. Coffee Co. Central High School 9/4/2020 1,716 14. Collierville High School 10/2/2020 2,865 15. Cookeville High School 9/2/2020 2,265 16. Cordova High School 10/2/2020 2,252 17. Dickson Co. High School 9/4/2020 1,535 18. Dobyns Bennett High School 9/17/2020 2,364 19. Farragut High School 9/21/2020 1,946 20. Franklin High School 9/16/2020 1,653 21. Gallatin High School 9/15/2020 1,754 22. Germantown High School 10/2/2020 1,984 23. Hardin Valley Academy 9/21/2020 2,006 24. Hendersonville High School 9/15/2020 1,561 25. Houston High School 9/18/2020 2,018 26. Independence High School 9/16/2020 1,874 27. Jefferson Co. High School 9/10/2020 2,079 28. John Overton High School 9/16/2020 1,973 29. LaVergne High School 9/18/2020 1,859 30. Lebanon High School 9/15/2020 1,594 31. Maryville High School 9/17/2020 1,616 32. McGavock High School 9/16/2020 2,256 33. Morristown-East 10/6/2020 1,619 34. Northeast High School 9/29/2020 1,494 35. Oak Ridge High School 9/18/2020 1,496 36. Oakland High School 9/18/2020 1,866 37. Ravenwood High School 9/16/2020 1,746 38. Riverdale High School 9/18/2020 1,636 39. Rockvale High School 9/18/2020 1,979 40. Rossview High School 9/29/2020 1,904 41. Science Hill High School 9/11/2020 2,285 42. Siegel High School 9/18/2020 1,758 43. Smyrna High School 9/18/2020 2,043 44. Southwind High School 10/2/2020 1,494 45. Stewarts Creek High School 9/18/2020 1,947 46. Summit High School 9/16/2020 1,562 47. West Creek High School 9/29/2020 1,595 48. White Station High School 10/2/2020 1,990 49. Whitehaven High School 10/2/2020 1,601 50. William Blount High School 9/18/2020 1,605

I posted a classification breakdown a few days ago.  I counted 294 football playing schools.  That's 49 per class.  @howdoitknow and I collaborated on this.  Looks like Kreager took our classification collaboration and did his region projections.  

 

 

[ChineseFlu]

22 hours ago, howdoitknow said:

CLASS 6A

REGION 1

Bearden, Dobyns-Bennett, Farragut, Hardin Valley, Jefferson Co., Morristown East, Science Hill

REGION 2

Bradley Central, Cleveland, Maryville, William Blount

REGION 3

Blackman, Coffee Co., Cookeville, Oakland, Riverdale, Rockvale, Shelbyville, Siegel, Warren Co.

REGION 4

Beech, Clarksville, Gallatin, Hendersonville, Lebanon, Rossview, West Creek

REGION 5

Antioch, Cane Ridge, La Vergne, McGavock, Overton, Smyrna, Stewarts Creek

REGION 6

Brentwood, Centennial, Dickson Co., Franklin, Independence, Ravenwood, Summit

REGION 7

Arlington, Bartlett, Collierville, Cordova

REGION 8

Germantown, Houston, Whitehaven, White Station

 

 

 

CLASS 5A

REGION 1

Cherokee, Cocke Co., Daniel Boone, David Crockett, Morristown West, Tennessee, West Ridge

REGION 2

Heritage, Knoxville Central, Knoxville Halls, Knoxville West, Sevier Co.

REGION 3

Campbell Co., Clinton, Karns, Lenoir City, Oak Ridge, Powell

REGION 4

Howard, McMinn Co., Ooltewah, Rhea Co., Walker Valley

REGION 5

Columbia, Franklin Co., Lincoln Co., Nolensville, Page, Spring Hill, White Co.

REGION 6

Green Hill, Hillsboro, Hunters Lane, Mt. Juliet, Portland, Station Camp, Wilson Central

REGION 7

Dyer Co., Henry Co., Kenwood, Northeast, Northwest, Springfield

REGION 8

Brighton, Kingsbury, Memphis Central, Munford, Overton, Southwind

 

 

 

 

CLASS 4A

REGION 1

Elizabethton, Grainger, Greeneville, Seymour, Sullivan East, Volunteer

REGION 2

Anderson Co., Carter, Fulton, Gibbs, Scott, South-Doyle

REGION 3

Chattanooga Central, East Hamilton, East Ridge, Hixson, Red Bank, Sequoyah, Soddy-Daisy

REGION 4

Cumberland Co., DeKalb Co., Livingston Acad., Macon Co., Stone Memorial, Upperman

REGION 5

Creek Wood, Glencliff, Greenbrier, Hillwood, Lawrence Co., Marshall Co., Montgomery Central, Tullahoma

REGION 6

Crockett Co., Jackson North Side, Jackson South Side, Liberty, Obion Co., South Gibson

REGION 7

Chester Co., Hardin Co., Lexington, McNairy Central

REGION 8

Craigmont, Fayette-Ware, Kirby, Melrose, Millington, Ridgeway

 

 

 

CLASS 3A

REGION 1

Claiborne County, Chuckey-Doak, Johnson County, Unicoi County, Union County, West Greene

REGION 2

Alcoa, Austin-East, Gatlinburg-Pitman, Kingston, Northview Academy, Pigeon Forge

REGION 3

Brainerd, Loudon, McMinn Central, Signal Mountain, Sweetwater

REGION 4

Cannon County, Community, Grundy County, Sequatchie County, Smith County

REGION 5

East Nashville, Giles County, Maplewood, Pearl-Cohn, Stratford, White House, White House Heritage

REGION 6

Cheatham County, Fairview, Stewart County, Sycamore, Waverly

REGION 7

Bolivar, Covington, Dyersburg, Haywood, Milan, Ripley

REGION 8

Bolton, Douglass, Hamilton, Memphis Business Academy, Memphis East, Raleigh-Egypt, Sheffield, Trezevant, Wooddale

 

 

 

Class 2A

REGION 1

Cumberland Gap, Hampton, Happy Valley, Oneida, South Greene, Wartburg Central

REGION 2

Bledsoe Co., Marion Co., Meigs Co., Polk Co., Tellico Plains, Tyner Academy.

REGION 3

Cascade, East Robertson, Jackson Co., Monterey, Trousdale Co., Watertown, Westmoreland, York Institute

REGION 4

East Hickman, Harpeth, Hickman Co., Houston Co., Whites Creek

REGION 5

Forrest, Lewis Co., Mt. Pleasant, Richland, Summertown

REGION 6

Adamsville, Camden, Huntingdon, Riverside, Scotts Hill

REGION 7

Gibson Co., Halls, Peabody, Union City, Westview

REGION 8

Hillcrest, Fairley, Freedom Prep, KIPP, Manasas, MAHS, MLK Prep, Mitchell, Oakhaven

 

 

 

CLASS 1A

REGION 1

Cloudland, Cosby, Hancock Co., Jellico, North Greene, Unaka

REGION 2

Coalfield, Greenback, Harriman, Midway, Oakdale, Oliver Springs, Rockwood, Sunbright

REGION 3

Copper Basin, Lookout Valley, Sale Creek, South Pittsburg, Whitwell

REGION 4

Clay Co., Gordonsville, Jo Byrns, Pickett Co., Red Boiling Springs

REGION 5

Cornersville, Eagleville, Fayetteville, Huntland, Moore Co.

REGION 6

Bruceton, Collinwood, Loretto, McEwen, Perry Co., Wayne Co.

REGION 7

Dresden, Gleason, Greenfield, Humboldt, Lake Co., McKenzie, South Fulton, West Carroll

REGION 8

Bluff City, B.T. Washington, MASE, Memphis Middle, Middleton, Westwood

 

 

 

 

DII-AAA

EAST REGION

Baylor, Ensworth*, Knoxville Catholic, McCallie, MBA, Pope John Paul II

WEST REGION

Brentwood Academy*, Briarcrest, Christian Brothers, Father Ryan, MUS, St. Benedict

DII-AA

EAST REGION

Boyd Buchanan, Chattanooga Christian, CAK, Knoxville Grace, Knoxville Webb, Notre Dame, Silverdale,

MIDDLE REGION

BGA, CPA, Davidson Academy, FRA, Goodpasture, Lipscomb Academy

WEST REGION

ECS, Lausanne, Northpoint Christian,  St. George’s

DII-A

EAST REGION

Grace Baptist, Lakeway Christian, The King’s Academy, Friendship Christian, MJCA

MIDDLE REGION

Clarksville Academy, Columbia Academy, DCA, Franklin Grace, MTCS, Nashville Christian, Webb

WEST REGION

Fayette Academy, FACS, Harding Academy, Jackson Christian, Tipton-Rosemark, TCA, USJ

York is less than 40 miles away from Oneida and Wartburg, why would they not be in that region and maybe even Monterey.  That is complete lack of geographic knowledge of the state or you just completely don't give a crap about rural schools and the distance they are travelling.

[Sidelinehustler]

13 minutes ago, ChineseFlu said:

York is less than 40 miles away from Oneida and Wartburg, why would they not be in that region and maybe even Monterey.  That is complete lack of geographic knowledge of the state or you just completely don't give a crap about rural schools and the distance they are travelling.

Bingo

[BobcatFan22]

On 10/15/2020 at 5:48 PM, Sidelinehustler said:

Bingo

 

On 10/15/2020 at 5:34 PM, ChineseFlu said:

York is less than 40 miles away from Oneida and Wartburg, why would they not be in that region and maybe even Monterey.  That is complete lack of geographic knowledge of the state or you just completely don't give a crap about rural schools and the distance they are travelling.

Probably because of history, and add in York and Monterey are in the Central Time zone(though in my map i did have Monterey and York in the East at first, but add in 1 hour to all times for the team in central and it can screw things up... *shrug*  also hate how we're seeing a lot of 4 team regions, i get why it's happening but when i made mine i tried as hard as possible to make every region 5 or 6 teams(7 when it made sense)... something tells me $ will talk with TSSAA or that a lot of teams will opt up and throw everything off... and a few of regions will make little sense...

[rlh]

5 hours ago, BobcatFan22 said:

 

Probably because of history, and add in York and Monterey are in the Central Time zone(though in my map i did have Monterey and York in the East at first, but add in 1 hour to all times for the team in central and it can screw things up... *shrug*  also hate how we're seeing a lot of 4 team regions, i get why it's happening but when i made mine i tried as hard as possible to make every region 5 or 6 teams(7 when it made sense)... something tells me $ will talk with TSSAA or that a lot of teams will opt up and throw everything off... and a few of regions will make little sense...

The other solution is to have 2 teams from each region making the playoffs.

[mrbigster]

.I thought most had Halls and Trenton at the Single A cutoff and most thinking Trenton would stay 2A. Poor Halls. Looks ok to me.Basically McKenzie taking Huntingdons spot in 1A.Huntingdon has been stronger is past seasons anx I'm sure Huntingdon would still be strong in the next several seasons if they stay in Single A so I'm thinking  doesnt matter.Just McKenzie took Huntingdons spot.Strap em up

[Indian]

York deciding on whether to stay 2A where they're now listed for 2021, or move to 3A where they're playing at currently, might affect multiple regions. 

[mrbigster]

10 minutes ago, rlh said:

The other solution is to have 2 teams from each region making the playoffs.

I actually like 2 teams but doubt it will happen cause of money. And would be difficult now with McKenzie probably coming to our region.With LC,Greenfield,Dresden,West Carroll being top 4 seeds,some really good teams would stay home.West Carroll at number 4 has a very good team.Then think if McKenzie was there this year.Theyd more than likely be the top team.Which means ud have a 1 loss Lake Co team and an undefeated Greenfield team staying home.Both in the top 10.TSSAA isnt going to lose the gate .Even at 4 teams.If McKenzie were there this year.West Carroll would be staying home and theyd be able to beat most teams  in the other region and a lot of teams 2nd,3rd and 4th in every Single A region.Like LC said.Its about matchups and West Carroll would be a tough out

[old24eagle]

On 10/15/2020 at 1:34 AM, cherokean said:

Losing Cosby, North Greene & Rockwood to 1A, hurts the Region 1 & 2-2A alignment for sure.

North Greene was actually AAA las year and it looks like after corrected numbers Rockwood will stay in AA, So Cosby will technically be the only one AA loses. We should have never been in AA to begin with honestly.

[RocketHouse]

Loretto's inability to count messed up everyone's projections!

 

[RTD]

On 10/14/2020 at 7:38 PM, Sidelinehustler said:

Cascade to York -280 mile round trip and 5 hours??? Cascade to Monterey- 200 miles and 3 hours and 40 minutes. Jeez, I know it’s not an exact science but that’s ridiculous  

 

I agree with you take York and Monteray out and just put Whites Creek in their place makes more sense.

[RTD]

On 10/14/2020 at 8:21 PM, TCRadio said:

Same way I had it predicted, I think York may go region 2 but I would guess Monterey stays with region 3 

Wites creek makes more sense than Monterey